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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 May 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Pediatr. 2010 Dec 10;158(5):752–758.e1. doi: 10.1016/j.jpeds.2010.10.019

Table 3.

Predictors of Poor Outcome [Death/Disability]

Median (25th & 75th Percentile) PCO2 Values (mmHg) Adjusted Analyses*
Measures of PCO2 Exposure Death or Disability No Death Disability p-value** OR & 95% CI*** p-value
Minimum PCO2 to 12h 22 (20 - 29) 26 (21 - 32) 0.0202 2.0 (1.1 - 3.4) 0.0151
Maximum PCO2 to 12h 48 (38 - 66) 42 (37 - 59) 0.1768 1.1 (1.0 - 1.3) 0.1423
Difference in Max. & Min. PCO2 23.5 (13 - 42) 18 (9 - 32) 0.0247 1.1 (0.9 - 1.2) 0.3986
Standard Deviation in PCO2 Measurements 10.3 (5.7-16.9) 7.8 (4.3-13.0) 0.0435 1.2 (0.9 - 1.6) 0.3169
Logistic Regression Model with Cumulative Exposure Unadjusted Odds Ratios Adjusted Odds Ratios
Cumulative Exposure to Hypocarbia (<35mmHg) OR & 95%CI p-value OR & 95%CI p-value
 > 75th quartile (>=116 mmHg.hrs) 4.1 (1.4 - 12.5) 0.0536 6.9 (1.5 - 31.9) 0.0490
 50-75th quartile (59-115 mmHg.hrs) 3.4 (1.2 - 10.1) - 7.7 (1.8 - 33.4) -
 25-50th quartile (29-58 mmHg.hrs) 2.6 (0.9 - 7.8) - 4.4 (1.0 - 19.4) -
 < 25th quartile (1-28 mmHg.hrs) 1.6 (0.6 - 4.8) - 2.5 (0.6 - 10.4) -
Initial Level of HIE – Severe vs. Moderate 6.0 (3.0 - 12.0) <0.0001 3.4 (1.5 - 7.7) 0.0043
Study Treatment Group – Control vs Hypothermia 2.2 (1.2 - 3.9) 0.0080 3.3 (1.5 - 7.0) 0.0024
Time to Spontaneous Respiration >10min vs < 10min 8.1 (3.8 - 17.1) <0.0001 5.0 (2.1 - 11.7) 0.0002
pH at Randomization (0.1 point decrease) 1.4 (1.2 - 1.7) 0.0009 1.5 (1.1 - 1.9) 0.0047
Days on Ventilation (1 day increase) 1.2 (1.0 - 1.2) 0.0009 1.1 (1.0 - 1.2) 0.0088
AUC c-statistic 0.861
*

Adjusted for initial level of encephalopathy, study treatment group, time to spontaneous respiration >10 minutes, systemic pH at randomization & days on ventilation

**

Wilcoxon

***

Odds Ratios are increased odds of death/disability associated with a 10 mmHg decline in the PCO2 measure.