Table 4. Odds ratios and related allele frequencies needed to obtain AUCs of 0.70–0.85 in addition to the 53 statistically significant genetic susceptibility variants (AUC = 0.69).
Risk allele Frequency | Number of extra genetic variants | AUC 0.70 | AUC 0.75 | AUC 0.80 | AUC 0.85 |
0.05 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 5.1 | 9.0 |
5 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 3.6 | |
20 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.1 | |
50 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | |
100 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | |
0.30 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.9 | 3.0 | 4.9 |
5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.2 | |
20 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | |
50 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | |
100 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | |
0.50 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 5.3 |
5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2.1 | |
20 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | |
50 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | |
100 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
NOTE: Odds ratios are presented as mean of 20 simulations each.
AUC: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.