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. 2011 Dec 2;6(12):e26783. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0026783

Table 2. Model Parameter Values: Screening and Treatment Response Characteristics.

Base Min Max Source
Screening Test Characteristics
FibroTest (FibroSure)
Probability for patients with F0–F1 [6], [8], [19], [20]
Test + (>0.58) 0.13 0.06 0.15
Test − (<0.31), specificity at 0.31 0.68 0.57 0.72
Probability for patients with F2–F4
Test + (>0.58), sensitivity at 0.58 0.56 0.35 0.59
Test − (<0.31) 0.16 0.12 0.29
Liver biopsy screening frequency (year) 3 3 5 [47]
Treatment Response Probability
Standard treatment (peginterferon and ribavirin)
Probability(EVR at 12 week), genotype 1 0.71 0.66 0.76 [28]
Probability(SVR | EVR), genotype 1 0.63 0.57 0.69 [28]
Probability(SVR), genotype 2 and 3 0.80 0.60 1.00 [1], [10], [28], [34]
Triple therapy (peginterferon+ribavirin+telaprevir), genotype 1a [9]
Probability(virologic failure at 12 week) 0.03
Probability(eRVR+, 24 week treatment | non-failure at 12 week) 0.60
Probability(eRVR−, 48 week treatment | non-failure at 12 week) 0.35
Probability(SVR|eRVR+, 24 week treatment) 0.89
Probability(SVR|eRVR−, 48 week treatment) 0.67
Noncompliance 0 0 0.63 [29]
a

The effectiveness listed for triple therapy are for patients with fibrosis stage F0 to F2; for patients with fibrosis stage F3 and F4, SVR is reduced by 20%.