Table 3.

Percent change in child mortality from observed study and LiST model predictions

Study [reference]	Intervention Period	Net intervention Coverage increase from baseline (%)	Child mortality reduction measured by study (%) (95% CI)	Child mortality reduction modeled by LiST (%) (Uncertainty Interval)	Relative difference between measured and modeled estimates (%)
The Gambia [9]	1991-92	80	21.8 (4.7 - 35.1)	17.1 (-3.1 – 33.3)	22
Burkina Faso [10]	1994-96	94	12.6 (-7.2 - 27.9)	18.7 (3.3 – 32.1)	33
Tanzania [11]	1997-99	51	7.9 (0.0 - 14.8)	12.1 (-1.2 – 24.5)	35
Kenya [12]	2004-06	100	24.6 (2.2 – 37.5)	18.4 (-4.6 – 36.8)	25

a: Study specific estimate

CI: Confidence interval