Table 4.
Multivariable Cox Proportional Hazard Models Showing Risk of Overall and Melanoma-specific Mortality, by Receipt of Surgery
Overall | Melanoma-specific | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Characteristic | No Surgery | Surgery | No Surgery | Surgery |
HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | |
Age | 1.007 (1.006–1.008)a | 1.005 (1.004–1.005)a | 1.00 (1.006–1.009)a | 1.00 (1.003–1.004)a |
Sex | ||||
Male | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Female | 0.90 (0.83–0.99)b | 0.71 (0.68–0.73)a | 0.87 (0.78–0.97)b | 0.65 (0.62–0.68)a |
Race | ||||
White | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Black | 1.16 (0.82–1.64) | 1.64 (1.44–1.86)a | 0.84 (0.51–1.38) | 1.50 (1.25–1.79)a |
Others | 0.86 (0.64–1.15) | 1.05 (0.93–1.19) | 0.91 (0.64–1.29) | 1.01 (0.84–1.20) |
Stage | ||||
In situ | 1.00 | 1.00 | .26 (0.03–2.16) | 0.07 (0.05–0.10)a |
Local | .87 (.59–1.30) | 1.31 (1.23–1.40)a | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Regional | 3.03 (1.83–4.99)a | 3.99 (3.69–4.30)a | 7.03 (4.22–11.73)a | 4.51 (4.26–4.77)a |
Distant | 12.59 (7.69–20.60)a | 11.00 (10.01–12.08)a | 30.49 (18.45–50.40)a | 13.51 (12.41–14.71)a |
Unstaged | 2.57 (1.58–4.19)c | 2.34 (2.15–2.55)a | 5.67 (3.42–9.40)a | 2.56 (2.37–2.76)a |
Anatomic site | ||||
Trunk | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Upper extremity | 1.03 (0.83–1.28) | 0.97 (0.94–1.01) | 0.84 (0.62–1.14) | 0.73 (0.69–0.77)a |
Lower extremity | 0.99 (0.80–1.24) | 0.89 (0.86–0.93)a | 1.04 (0.79–1.38) | 0.84 (0.74–0.89)a |
Overlap & NOS | 1.42 (1.21–1.68)a | 1.06 (0.99–1.14) | 1.20 (0.98–1.47) | 0.81 (0.74–0.88)a |
Head and neck | 1.48 (1.22–1.77)a | 1.51 (1.46–1.56)a | 0.86 (0.65–1.13) | 1.03 (0.98–1.09) |
Histologic subtype | ||||
in situ | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.25 (0.02–2.92) | 0.51 (0.32–0.82)c |
MM | 2.52 (1.60–3.96)a | 1.75 (1.61–1.90)a | 1.00 | 1.00 |
NM | 3.39 (1.98–5.78)a | 2.79 (2.55–3.05)a | 1.91 (1.33–2.75)c | 1.75 (1.66–1.85)a |
LMM | 2.08(1.51–2.88)a | 2.11 (1.97–2.26)a | 0.21 (0.08–0.58)c | 0.44 (0.39–.51)a |
SSM | 0.95 (0.58–1.58) | 1.20 (1.10–1.31)a | 0.28 (0.18–0.44)a | 0.63 (0.60–0.67)a |
ALM | 3.44 (1.37–8.63)c | 2.75 (2.37–3.18)a | 1.35 (0.50–3.67) | 1.55 (1.32–1.82)a |
Satellite Nodules | ||||
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Yes | 0.95 (0.68–1.33) | 1.43 (1.28–1.61)a | 1.00 (0.69–1.45) | 1.40 (1.23–1.58)a |
Unknown | 1.00 (.75–1.33) | 0.85 (0.77–0.94)c | 1.10 (0.72–1.68) | 0.86 (0.76–0.98)b |
LN Extension | ||||
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Regional | 1.07 (0.81–1.41) | 1.22 (1.14–1.30)a | 1.50 (0.99–2.26) | 1.48 (1.37–1.60)a |
Distant | 1.21 (0.90–1.63) | 1.12 (0.97–1.29) | 1.82 (1.19–2.79)c | 1.21 (1.03–1.43)b |
Unknown | 1.24 (0.98–1.57) | 1.09 (1.06–1.13)a | 1.63 (1.12–2.37)b | 1.10 (1.05–1.16)c |
Ulceration Status | ||||
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Yes | 1.58 (1.05–2.38)b | 1.14 (1.08–1.19)a | 1.56 (0.91–2.68) | 1.12 (1.05–1.19)c |
Unknown | 0.91 (0.70–1.19) | 1.30 (1.24–1.37)a | 1.06 (0.74–1.50) | 1.49 (1.39–1.60)a |
Years of diagnosis | ||||
1973–1977 | 1.75 (1.59–1.93)a | 2.53 (2.20–2.91)a | ||
1978–1982 | 1.75 (1.60–1.92)a | 2.56 (2.24–2.92) a | ||
1983–1987 | 1.38 (1.25–1.52)a | 1.66 (1.44–1.91)a | ||
1988–1992 | 1.35 (1.16–1.57)a | 1.55 (1.42–1.69)a | 1.48 (1.22–1.78)a | 1.82 (1.59–2.07)a |
1993–1997 | 1.23 (1.07–1.42)c | 1.38 (1.27–1.51)a | 1.42 (1.20–1.69)a | 1.58 (1.39–1.80)a |
1998–2002 | 1.02 (0.91–1.15) | 1.10 (1.01–1.19)b | 1.04 (0.91–1.20) | 1.11 (0.98–1.26) |
2003–2004 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
P < 0.0001,
P < 0.05,
P < 0.01
Abbreviations: HR = Hazard Ratio, CI = confidence interval
MM = malignant melanoma, NM = nodular melanoma, LMM = lentigo maligna melanoma, SSM = superficial spreading melanoma, ALM = acral lentiginous melanoma, LN = Lymph Node