Table 5.
Multivariable Cox Proportional Hazard Models Showing Risk of Overall and Melanoma-specific Mortality, by Surgery Type
Overall | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Biopsy | Wide excision | Amputation | Surgery NOS | |
HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | |
Age | 1.004 (1.004–1.005)a | 1.005 (1.005–1.005)a | 1.02 (1.01–1.04)a | 1.004 (1.004–1.004)a |
Sex | ||||
Male | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Female | 0.72 (0.69–0.76)a | 0.69 (0.66–0.72)a | 0.86 (0.62–1.20) | 0.72 (0.68–0.75)a |
Race | ||||
White | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Black | 1.36 (1.01–1.83)b | 1.58 (1.27–1.95)a | 1.40 (0.81–2.43) | 1.76 (1.42–2.17)a |
Other | 1.15 (.91–1.46) | 0.92 (0.75–1.13) | 1.28 (0.73–2.24) | 1.01 (.82–1.25) |
Stage | ||||
In situ | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Local | 1.31 (1.18–1.47)a | 1.47 (1.32–1.64)a | 2.91 (0.13–67.96) | 1.22 (1.06–1.42)c |
Regional | 4.69 (3.99–5.51)a | 5.01 (4.41–5.69)a | 7.10 (0.30–166.53) | 2.74 (2.34–3.20)a |
Distant | 17.52 (14.35–21.39)a | 9.97 (8.23–12.07)a | 9.91 (0.39–247.72) | 6.81 (5.73–8.09)a |
Unstaged | 1.84 (1.52–2.25)a | 1.47 (1.21–1.78)a | 4.12 (0.17–101.29) | 2.20 (1.88–2.58)a |
Anatomic site | ||||
Trunk | 1.00 | 0.99 (0.94–1.04) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Upper extremity | 1.04 (0.97–1.13) | 1.00 | 0.61 (0.26–1.46) | 0.90 (0.85–0.96)c |
Lower extremity | 0.89 (0.81–0.97)b | 0.85 (0.79–0.90)a | 0.75 (0.31–1.79) | 0.92 (0.86–0.98)b |
Overlap & NOS | 0.93 (0.80–1.07) | 1.07 (0.86–1.32) | 0.76 (0.17–3.25) | 1.20 (1.09–1.33)c |
Head and neck | 1.66 (1.55–1.78)a | 1.55 (1.47–1.63)a | 1.26 (0.48–3.33) | 1.31 (1.23–1.39)a |
Histologic subtype | ||||
In situ | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
MM | 1.81 (1.58–2.08)a | 1.56 (1.36–1.78)a | 0.38 (.02–8.77) | 1.91 (1.49–2.46)a |
NM | 3.19 (2.74–3.73)a | 2.73 (2.37–3.14)a | 0.82 (.03–19.42) | 2.48 (1.93–3.21)a |
LMM | 2.07 (1.88–2.28)a | 1.87 (1.68–2.08)a | 0.70 (.03–16.21) | 2.38 (1.89–3.00)a |
SSM | 1.13 (0.98–1.30) | 1.09 (0.96–1.25) | 0.46 (0.02–11.09) | 1.33 (1.04–1.72)b |
ALM | 2.65 (1.85–3.81)a | 2.65 (2.17–3.24)a | 0.34 (0.01–7.94) | 2.78 (1.82–4.25)a |
Satellite Nodules | ||||
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Yes | 1.01 (0.72–1.42) | 1.34 (1.07–1.68)b | 0.83(0.34–2.04) | 1.37 (1.17–1.59)a |
Unknown | 0.67 (0.53–0.85)c | 0.71 (0.61–0.83)a | 0.69 (0.31–1.53) | 0.91 (0.75–1.10) |
LN Extension | ||||
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Regional | 1.21 (0.98–1.50) | 1.35 (1.20–1.51)a | 1.41 (0.80–2.52) | 1.24 (1.12–1.37)a |
Distant | 1.59 (1.20–2.12)c | 1.39 (1.03–1.89)b | 1.65 (0.51–5.36) | 0.97 (0.79–1.19) |
Unknown | 1.03 (0.96–1.11) | 1.03 (0.99–1.08) | 1.42 (0.97–2.10) | 1.13 (1.06–1.22)c |
Tumor ulceration | ||||
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Yes | 1.10 (0.95–1.29) | 1.05 (0.96–1.15) | 1.46 (0.90–2.38) | 1.08 (1.01–1.15)b |
Unknown | 1.73 (1.49–2.01)a | 1.83 (1.61–2.09)a | 1.27 (0.65–2.50) | 1.01 (0.94–1.08) |
Years of diagnosis | ||||
1973–1977 | 0.67 (0.40–1.14) | |||
1978–1982 | 0.59 (0.35–1.01) | |||
1983–1987 | 0.92 (0.76–1.11) | 0.93 (0.78–1.11) | 1.70 (0.62–4.67) | 0.65 (0.38–1.10) |
1988–1992 | 1.49 (1.30–1.70)a | 1.43 (1.26–1.62)a | 1.93 (0.84–4.41) | 0.64 (0.37–1.08) |
1993–1997 | 1.30 (1.14–1.48)c | 1.32 (1.16–1.49)a | 2.66 (1.21–5.89)b | 0.62 (0.36–1.06) |
1998–2002 | 1.14 (1.00–1.30)b | 1.08 (0.96–1.22) | 2.09 (0.96–4.58) | 0.59 (0.33–1.06) |
2003–2004 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Melanoma-specific | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Biopsy | Wide excision | Amputation | Surgery NOS | |
HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | HR (95% CI) | |
Age | 1.003 (1.002–1.004)a | 1.004 (1.004–1.005)a | 1.002 (0.99–1.02) | 1.003 (1.003–1.004)a |
Sex | ||||
Male | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Female | 0.63 (0.57–0.70)a | .64 (0.60–0.68)a | 0.69 (0.45–1.06) | 0.67 (0.63–0.72)a |
Race | ||||
White | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Black | 1.09 (0.67–1.76) | 1.28 (0.94–1.76) | 1.16 (0.59–2.27) | 1.70 (1.30–2.23)c |
Other | 0.85 (0.52–1.37) | 0.95 (0.71–1.27) | 1.23 (0.60–2.52) | 0.99 (0.76–1.32) |
Stage | ||||
In situ | 0.08 (0.04–0.18)a | 0.07 (0.04–0.14)a | 0.00 (0.00–0.00) | 0.12 (0.06–0.23)a |
Local | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Regional | 7.11 (5.98–8.46)a | 4.95 (4.49–5.45)a | 2.96 (1.65–5.28)c | 2.91 (2.67–3.17)a |
Distant | 30.43 (24.38–37.99)a | 10.86 (8.98–13.13)a | 4.85 (1.94–12.14)c | 7.78 (6.92–8.76)a |
Unstaged | 2.74 (2.19–3.44)a | 1.11 (0.90–1.39) | 1.75 (0.52–5.89) | 2.48 (2.25–2.73)a |
Anatomic site | ||||
Trunk | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Upper extremity | 0.74 (0.64–0.85)a | 0.70 (0.65–0.77)a | 0.60 (0.21–1.73) | 0.72 (0.66–0.78)a |
Lower extremity | 0.85 (0.73 –0.99)b | 0.82 (0.76–0.90)a | 0.88 (0.31–2.52) | 0.83 (0.76–0.90)a |
Overlap & NOS | 0.67 (0.54–0.84)c | 0.74 (0.53–1.02) | 0.69(0.10–4.51) | 0.90 (0.80–1.01) |
Head and neck | 0.96 (0.84–1.09) | 1.13 (1.04–1.22)c | 1.19 (0.36–3.93) | 0.91 (0.84–.99)b |
Histologic subtype | ||||
In situ | 0.42 (0.18–0.99)b | 0.51 (0.24–1.07) | 0.00 (0.00–0.00) | .68 (0.29–1.59) |
MM | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
NM | 1.90 (1.67–2.17)a | 1.99 (1.85–2.16)a | 1.98 (1.10–3.55)b | 1.32 (1.21–1.43)a |
LMM | 0.33 (0.24–0.45)a | 0.46 (0.38–0.56)a | 2.00 (0.37–10.91) | 0.58 (0.47–0.72)a |
SSM | 0.53 (0.46–0.61)a | 0.69 (0.64–0.75)a | 1.16 (0.50–2.69) | .63 (0.58–0.68)a |
ALM | 1.35 (0.80–2.28) | 1.63 (1.32–2.01)a | 0.96 (0.58–1.59) | 1.45 (0.98–2.15) |
Satellite Nodules | ||||
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Yes | 0.94 (0.65–1.37) | 1.20 (0.94–1.54) | 0.83 (0.28–2.41) | 1.39 (1.18–1.65)c |
Unknown | 0.81 (0.61–1.08) | 0.72 (0.59–0.87)c | 0.61 (0.23–1.61) | 0.76 (0.60–0.97)b |
LN Extension | ||||
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Regional | 1.51 (1.17–1.96)c | 1.69 (1.48–1.93)a | 1.54 (0.75–3.13) | 1.30 (1.15–1.46)a |
Distant | 1.85 (1.34–2.57)c | 1.56 (1.12–2.18)c | 1.10 (0.26–4.66) | 0.95 (0.75–1.20) |
Unknown | 1.24 (1.09–1.41)c | 1.10 (1.02–1.17)b | 1.32 (0.79–2.19) | 1.02 (0.93–1.12) |
Tumor ulceration | ||||
No | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
Yes | 1.05 (0.84–1.29) | 1.06 (0.95–1.19) | 1.44 (0.79–2.60) | 1.02 (0.93–1.12) |
Unknown | 1.82 (1.49–2.23)a | 2.25 (1.92–2.65)a | 1.43 (0.64–3.19) | 1.03 (0.94–1.14) |
Years of diagnosis | ||||
1973–1977 | 1.01 (0.48–2.13) | |||
1978–1982 | 0.85 (0.40–1.80) | |||
1983–1987 | 1.23 (0.95–1.60) | 1.08 (0.86–1.37) | 1.39 (0.40–4.83) | 0.97 (.046–2.06) |
1988–1992 | 1.52 (1.21–1.91)c | 1.71 (1.41–2.06)a | 2.55 (0.92–7.03) | 0.96 (0.45–2.03) |
1993–1997 | 1.29 (1.04–1.61)b | 1.45 (1.21–1.75)a | 2.64 (0.98–7.15) | 0.90 (0.42–1.89) |
1998–2002 | 1.06 (0.86–1.32) | 1.08 (0.91–1.29) | 1.97 (0.74–5.27) | 0.59 (0.26–1.35) |
2003–2004 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
P < 0.0001.
P < 0.05.
P < 0.01.
Abbreviations: HR = Hazard Ratio, CI = confidence interval, MM = malignant melanoma, NM = nodular melanoma, LMM = lentigo maligna melanoma, SSM = superficial spreading melanoma, ALM = acral lentiginous melanoma, LN = Lymph Node.
Comparisons for each type of surgery were adjusted for all the variables shown in the table. Type of surgery was not coded in SEER prior to 1983; all surgeries were categorized as Surgery NOS for the 1973–1982 years of diagnosis.