Table 4.
Parameters from autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model for trauma, nontrauma, and pediatric visits (January, 2005–December, 2008).
Parameters | Coefficient | T | P value |
---|---|---|---|
ARIMA model (1,0,2) for forecasting trauma visits | |||
Mean maximum temperature | −6.2110 | −1.545 | 0.131 |
Mean minimum temperature | 6.8860 | 4.383 | <0.001 |
Relative humidity | −0.5100 | −0.360 | 0.721 |
Accumulated rainfall | 0.0210 | 1.479 | 0.147 |
Stock index fluctuation | 0.0990 | 5.026 | <0.001 |
| |||
ARIMA model (1,0,2) for forecasting nontraumatic visits | |||
Mean maximum temperature | 0.1380 | 5.211 | <0.001 |
Mean minimum temperature | −0.0120 | −0.835 | 0.409 |
Relative humidity | 0.0280 | 2.518 | 0.016 |
Accumulated rainfall | 0.0001 | 0.281 | 0.780 |
Stock index fluctuation | 0.0010 | 3.351 | 0.002 |
| |||
ARIMA model (0, 2, 1) for forecasting pediatric visits | |||
Mean maximum temperature | 0.1320 | 3.449 | <0.001 |
Mean minimum temperature | −0.0065 | −4.444 | <0.001 |
Relative humidity | 0.0040 | 2.552 | 0.015 |
Accumulated rainfall | 0.0001 | 0.921 | 0.363 |
Stock index fluctuation | 0.0001 | 1.606 | 0.116 |