Table 1.
Results of associations between alcohol establishment density and nonviolent crime (estimate [est.] and 95% confidence interval [CI])
| Crime | Alcohol establishment density Est. [95% CI] | Population density Est. [95% CI] | Economic/racial index Est. [95% CI] | Age 15–24 Est. [95% CI] | % increasea |
| Total establishments | |||||
| Vandalism | 0.26 [0.17, 0.35] | 0.20 [0.07, 0.33] | −0.34 [−0.46, −0.21] | 0.06 [-0.06, 0.17] | 3.30% |
| Nuisance | 0.50 [0.34, 0.67] | 0.17 [-0.08, 0.42] | −0.70 [−0.92, −0.47] | 0.18 [-0.04, 0.41] | 6.40% |
| Driving while intoxicated | 0.48 [0.35, 0.62] | 0.05 [-0.15, 0.26] | −0.28 [−0.47, −0.09] | 0.17 [0, 0.34] | 6.20% |
| Public consumption | 0.83 [0.48, 1.19] | 0.62 [0.16, 1.02] | −0.94 [−1.36, −0.54] | 0.13 [-0.24, 0.53] | 10.90% |
| Underage possession/consumption | 0.40 [0.11, 0.69] | -0.18 [-0.57, 0.23] | -0.38 [-0.74, 0.01] | 0.53 [0.15, 0.87] | 5.10% |
| On-premise establishments | |||||
| Vandalism | 0.25 [0.16, 0.35] | 0.20 [0.07, 0.33] | −0.35 [−0.46, −0.23] | 0.06 [-0.05, 0.18] | 2.80% |
| Nuisance | 0.50 [0.33, 0.68] | 0.18 [-0.06, 0.43] | −0.70 [−0.92, −0.49] | 0.18 [-0.04, 0.4] | 5.60% |
| Driving while intoxicated | 0.47 [0.34, 0.61] | 0.07 [-0.14, 0.27] | −0.28 [−0.47, −0.09] | 0.15 [-0.02, 0.33] | 5.30% |
| Public consumption | 0.83 [0.48, 1.13] | 0.59 [0.13, 1.03] | −0.96 [−1.4, −0.52] | 0.12 [-0.28, 0.51] | 9.50% |
| Underage possession/consumption | 0.38 [0.11, 0.65] | -0.17 [-0.56, 0.23] | −0.39 [−0.75, −0.01] | 0.53 [0.18, 0.91] | 4.20% |
| Off-premise establishments | |||||
| Vandalism | 0.17 [0.07, 0.26] | 0.18 [0.03, 0.32] | −0.29 [−0.42, −0.15] | 0.07 [-0.06, 0.21] | 2.90% |
| Nuisance | 0.21 [0.03, 0.39] | 0.14 [-0.15, 0.45] | −0.61 [−0.87, −0.35] | 0.19 [-0.08, 0.47] | 3.60% |
| Driving while intoxicated | 0.28 [0.11, 0.44] | 0.02 [-0.23, 0.26] | -0.16 [-0.38, 0.07] | 0.17 [-0.05, 0.39] | 4.80% |
| Public consumption | 0.35 [-0.04, 0.73] | 0.51 [-0.01, 1.09] | −0.68 [−1.19, −0.2] | 0.14 [-0.32, 0.62] | 6.00% |
| Underage possession/consumption | 0.35 [0.07,0.63] | -0.24 [-0.65, 0.19] | -0.28 [-0.65, 0.08] | 0.56 [0.16, 0.95] | 6.00% |
Notes: Bold text indicates statistical significance at the p < .05 level. Est. [95% CI] columns refer to Bayesian point and 95% CI estimates for the components of the β vector described in the Analyses section.
Percentage increases corresponding to a 20% increase density in a neighborhood with the average density.