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. 2012 Jan;73(1):21–25. doi: 10.15288/jsad.2012.73.21

Table 1.

Results of associations between alcohol establishment density and nonviolent crime (estimate [est.] and 95% confidence interval [CI])

Crime Alcohol establishment density Est. [95% CI] Population density Est. [95% CI] Economic/racial index Est. [95% CI] Age 15–24 Est. [95% CI] % increasea
Total establishments
 Vandalism 0.26 [0.17, 0.35] 0.20 [0.07, 0.33] −0.34 [−0.46, −0.21] 0.06 [-0.06, 0.17] 3.30%
 Nuisance 0.50 [0.34, 0.67] 0.17 [-0.08, 0.42] −0.70 [−0.92, −0.47] 0.18 [-0.04, 0.41] 6.40%
 Driving while intoxicated 0.48 [0.35, 0.62] 0.05 [-0.15, 0.26] −0.28 [−0.47, −0.09] 0.17 [0, 0.34] 6.20%
 Public consumption 0.83 [0.48, 1.19] 0.62 [0.16, 1.02] −0.94 [−1.36, −0.54] 0.13 [-0.24, 0.53] 10.90%
 Underage possession/consumption 0.40 [0.11, 0.69] -0.18 [-0.57, 0.23] -0.38 [-0.74, 0.01] 0.53 [0.15, 0.87] 5.10%
On-premise establishments
 Vandalism 0.25 [0.16, 0.35] 0.20 [0.07, 0.33] −0.35 [−0.46, −0.23] 0.06 [-0.05, 0.18] 2.80%
 Nuisance 0.50 [0.33, 0.68] 0.18 [-0.06, 0.43] −0.70 [−0.92, −0.49] 0.18 [-0.04, 0.4] 5.60%
 Driving while intoxicated 0.47 [0.34, 0.61] 0.07 [-0.14, 0.27] −0.28 [−0.47, −0.09] 0.15 [-0.02, 0.33] 5.30%
 Public consumption 0.83 [0.48, 1.13] 0.59 [0.13, 1.03] −0.96 [−1.4, −0.52] 0.12 [-0.28, 0.51] 9.50%
 Underage possession/consumption 0.38 [0.11, 0.65] -0.17 [-0.56, 0.23] −0.39 [−0.75, −0.01] 0.53 [0.18, 0.91] 4.20%
Off-premise establishments
 Vandalism 0.17 [0.07, 0.26] 0.18 [0.03, 0.32] −0.29 [−0.42, −0.15] 0.07 [-0.06, 0.21] 2.90%
 Nuisance 0.21 [0.03, 0.39] 0.14 [-0.15, 0.45] −0.61 [−0.87, −0.35] 0.19 [-0.08, 0.47] 3.60%
 Driving while intoxicated 0.28 [0.11, 0.44] 0.02 [-0.23, 0.26] -0.16 [-0.38, 0.07] 0.17 [-0.05, 0.39] 4.80%
 Public consumption 0.35 [-0.04, 0.73] 0.51 [-0.01, 1.09] −0.68 [−1.19, −0.2] 0.14 [-0.32, 0.62] 6.00%
 Underage possession/consumption 0.35 [0.07,0.63] -0.24 [-0.65, 0.19] -0.28 [-0.65, 0.08] 0.56 [0.16, 0.95] 6.00%

Notes: Bold text indicates statistical significance at the p < .05 level. Est. [95% CI] columns refer to Bayesian point and 95% CI estimates for the components of the β vector described in the Analyses section.

a

Percentage increases corresponding to a 20% increase density in a neighborhood with the average density.