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. 2011 Jun 22;9(67):339–350. doi: 10.1098/rsif.2011.0255

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This journal is © 2011 The Royal Society

This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

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Figure 5. — Simulated R₀ future evolution. R₀ relative anomalies (%) with respect to 1961–1999 time period in ASO for (a) northwest and (b) southwest Europe (see figure 4 for the domain definition). R₀ estimated from the climate observations (OBS) is displayed in black, the R₀ ensemble mean based on the SimCTL (SimA1B) RCM ensemble is displayed in blue (red). The blue (orange) envelope highlights the spread (defined as 1 s.d. of each RCM realization to the ensemble mean) within the SimCTL (SimA1B) ensemble.