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. 2011 Feb 17;2(2):88–100. doi: 10.1007/s13193-011-0042-1

Table 3.

Published studies analyzing the correlation between serum CA 19-9 level and Pancreatic Cancer resectability (1980–2010)

Author, Year N= Tumor status CA19-9 serum levels (U/ml)
Median Mean
Paganuzzi et al. 1988 [29] 7 Resectable NA 94 ± 59
19 Unresectable 563 ± 768 (p > 0.05)
Safi et al. 1997 [22] 106 Resectable 152 NA
199 Unresectable 512
Nakao et al. 1998 [30] 18 Resectable NA <1,344
130 Unresectable >2,000 (range 5–32,240)
Kau et al. 1998 [31] 19 Resectable NA 524 ± 70 (p < 0.002)
40 Unresectable 3,114 ± 1,643
Schleiman et al. 2003 [32] Mean±SD (U/ml)
40 Resectable 73.5 386 ± 1,169
49 Unresectable 374 1,568 ± 2,979 (p < 0.001)
25 Locally advanced 336 1,090 ± 1,541 (p < 0.003)
24 Metastatic 431 2,066 ± 3,942 (p < 0.01)
Kilic et al. 2004 [33] 18 Resectable 19.3 111.98 ± 156.23 (p < 0.034)
15 Unresectable 302 1,860.14 ± 3,091.43
18 Disseminated 500 3,188.09 ± 4,089.71 (p < 0.004)
9 Peritoneal Metastasis 780.49 3,967.94 ± 4,703.70 (p < 0.113)
Fujioka et al. 2007 [34] Median
93 R0 Resection 78
66 R1/2 Resection 155
85 Locally advanced/Metastatic 326
Maithel et al. 2008 [35] 211 Resectable 131
51 Unresectable 379
Zhang et al. 2008 [36] Median Predictive value
54 Resectable <353 84.38% (+)
36 Unresectable >352 90.00% (−)
Kim et al. 2009 [25] Median Mean±SD
24 R0 Resection 49.66 111 ± 156.23 (p < 0.0034)
48 R1/2 Resection 233.03 1,860 ± 3,091
42 Unresectable 174.07 1,560 ± 2,985
Kondo et al. 2010 [26] Median
77 R0 Resection 118
11 R1/2 Resection 203

Published studies suggest that pre-operative CA 19-9 serum levels are highly correlated to subsequent pancreatic cancer resectability rates. A median CA 19-9 serum level of <100 U/ml correlates with resectability (positive predictive value, PPV of 60–80%) whereas CA19-9 levels higher than >100 U/ml suggested advanced or metastatic disease with a PPV for unresectability of 88–91%.

U/ml unit/milliliter, SD standard deviation, NA not available, R0 resection-microscopic margin tumor free, R1 resection-microscopic margins positive for tumor, R2 resection- macroscopic tumor left behind