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. 2011 Dec 15;53(12):1283–1290. doi: 10.1093/cid/cir729

Table 3.

Comparison of Performance of CD4 Failure Criteriaa to Various Definitions of Virologic Failure

Failure
Viral load failure definition Immunologic and virologic Immunologic only Virologic only None Sensitivity% Specificity% PPV% NPV%
Confirmed VL >5000 copies/mL (WHO-defined viral failure) 880 2242 449 6119 66.2 73.2 28.2 93.2
Confirmed VL >1000 copies/mL (protocol-defined viral failure) 1225 1897 872 5696 58.4 75.0 39.2 86.7
Confirmed VL >400 copies/mL 1440 1682 1301 5267 52.6 75.9 46.1 80.2

Abbreviations: NPV, negative predictive value; PPV, positive predictive value; VL, viral load; WHO, World Health Organization.

a

Immunologic failure defined in this table as meeting any of the 3 WHO CD4 failure definitions (unconfirmed by a second CD4 value).