TABLE 2.
Probabilities and sources
| Disease | Probability | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Measles | 0.025 | 20 |
| No complication | ||
| Outbreak probability | 0.10 per year (every 10 years) | 21 |
| Death (measles) | 0.001 | 4 |
| Otitis | 0.03 | 4 |
| Pneumonia | 0.045 | 4 |
| Encephalitis | 0.001 | 4 |
| Mumps | 0.017 | 20 |
| No complication | ||
| Outbreak probability | 0.05/year (every 20 years) | Personal communication† |
| Death (mumps) | 0 | Data on file* |
| Encephalitis | 0.0015 | 3 |
| Orchitis | 0.05 | Data on file* |
| Meningitis | 0.001 | 3 |
| Deafness | 0.000005 | 3 |
| Rubella | 0.005 | 20 |
| No complication | ||
| Outbreak probability | 0 | 19 |
| Death (rubella) | 0 | Data on file* |
| Abortion | 0 | 19 |
| Congenital rubella syndrome | 0.000045 (18 cases/400,000) | Personal communication† |
| Cardiac malformations | 0.46 | 22 |
| Deafness | 0.87 | 22 |
| Eye problems | 0.34 | 22 |
| Mental retardation | 0.39 | 22 |
| Thrombocytopenia | 0.00033 | 3 |
| Arthritis | 0.19 | Data on file*, 20 |
| Vaccination | ||
| Vaccine failure | ||
| Mumps | 0.10 | 20 |
| Measles | 0.08 | 20 |
| Rubella | 0.02 | 20 |
| Fever | 0.1 | 23 |
| Rash | 0.1 | 23 |
| Anaphylaxis | 0.00001 | Data on file* |
*
Merck Frosst Canada Inc.
†
Gaston de Serres, Centre de santé publique due Québec, Québec, Québec