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. 2011 Sep 7;120(1):77–84. doi: 10.1289/ehp.1103681

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LMM₂₀₁₀ and S₂₀₀₅ model-projected malaria changes relative to the present-day modeled distribution (1960–2000). (A–D) illustrate the LMM₂₀₁₀-simulated changes in EIR_a (A and B) and Seas (C and D). (E–H) S₂₀₀₅ model-projected changes in PR_<15 (E and F) and σ(PR_<15) (G,H). The values are for 2021–2030 (A,C,E,G) and 2041–2050 (B,D,F,H) compared with the A1B scenario. For A–F, the values that are statistically significant at the 5% level according to the Wilcoxon–Mann–Whitney rank-sum test (Helsel and Hirsch 2002) are marked by the black dots. The value scales for A and B are infectious bites per human per year, C and D are months, and E–H are percentages.