Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Dec 1.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Thorac Surg. 2011 Dec;92(6):2184–2192. doi: 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2011.06.008

Table 4. Results of Bayesian Hierarchical Models.

Estimate (95% Bayesian Probability Interval)
Minimum 25th 50th 75th Maximum Max/Min Estimated
Gini Index
(×100)
Estimated percentiles of the distribution of hospital-specific mortality rates
Norwood
Unadjusted
Morality (%)		 7.3
(3.8-10.8)		 15.5
(13.2-18.0)		 20.8
(18.2-23.6)		 27.0
(23.5-31.2)		 47.0
(35.5-61.8)		 7.0
(3.7-13.9)		 22.0
(16.3-27.6)
Norwood
Risk-Adjusted
Mortality (%)		 7.0
(3.7-10.3)		 14.0
(11.6-16.6)		 18.6
(15.9-21.3)		 23.9
(20.3-27.9)		 41.6
(30.6-57.2)		 65.
(3.3-13.0)		 21.1
(15.0-27.3)
Estimated percentiles of the distribution of hospital-specific average PLOS:
Unadjusted
VSD 5.8
(5.1-6.3)		 7.2
(6.9-7.4)		 7.9
(7.7-8.1)		 8.7
(8.4-9.0)		 11.2
(10.2-12.5)		 1.9
(1.7-2.3)		 8.0
(6.8-9.3)
TOF 7.5
(6.9-8.0)		 9.4
(9.1-9.8)		 10.4
(10.0-10.7)		 11.3
(10.9-11.7)		 14.0
(12.7-15.9)		 1.9
(1.6-2.2)		 7.5
(6.2-9.0)
AVC 8.5
(7.4-9.5)		 11.2
(10.6-11.7)		 12.4
(11.9-12.9)		 13.7
(13.0-14.4)		 17.9
(15.7-21.0)		 2.1
(1.7-2.7)		 8.6
(6.7-10.8)
ASO 9.2
(7.8-10.5)		 13.6
(12.9-14.3)		 15.4
(14.7-16.1)		 17.4
(16.4-18.4)		 24.8
(20.8-31.5)		 2.7
(2.1-3.7)		 10.9
(8.6-13.4)
ASO+VSD 11.9
(9.3-14.2)		 15.9
(14.6-17.2)		 18.0
(16.8-19.4)		 20.5
(18.6-22.7)		 30.2
(22.4-44.4)		 2.6
(1.6-4.2)		 11.1
(6.4-16.3)
Fontan 9.7
(8.8-10.4)		 13.0
(12.4-13.6)		 14.5
(13.9-15.1)		 16.1
(15.4-16.9)		 22.2
(19.2-26.9)		 2.3
(1.9-2.8)		 9.5
(7.8-11.5)
Truncus 18.4
(13.3-23.6)		 23.0
(20.3-25.8)		 25.3
(23.0-27.7)		 27.9
(24.9-31.3)		 35.8
(27.2-47.6)		 2.0
(1.2-3.4)		 8.2
(2.1-14.2)
Norwood 16.8
(13.9-19.9)		 31.7
(29.6-33.8)		 37.8
(35.5-40.4)		 44.5
(41.4-47.9)		 70.4
(57.3-92.5)		 4.2
(3.1-5.9)		 15.0
(12.5-17.9)
Estimated percentiles of the distribution of hospital-specific average PLOS:
Risk Adjusted
VSD 5.8
(5.2-6.3)		 7.1
(6.9-7.3)		 7.6
(7.4-7.8)		 8.3
(8.0-8.6)		 10.4
(9.7-11.4)		 1.8
(1.6-2.1)		 7.1
(6.1-8.1)
TOF 7.5
(6.9-8.0)		 9.4
(9.1-9.7)		 10.2
(9.9-10.5)		 11.0
(10.7-11.4)		 13.5
(12.2-15.4)		 1.8
(1.6-2.1)		 6.9
(5.6-8.2)
AVC 8.6
(7.4-9.5)		 11.0
(10.5-11.6)		 12.2
(11.7-12.7)		 13.5
(12.9-14.2)		 17.6
(15.6-20.6)		 2.1
(1.7-2.6)		 8.6
(6.7-10.8)
ASO 9.3
(7.9-10.6)		 13.6
(12.9-14.2)		 15.1
(14.5-15.8)		 17.0
(16.2-18.0)		 24.3
(20.1-31.2)		 2.6
(2.0-3.6)		 10.3
(8.1-12.8)
ASO+VSD 12.5
(10.1-14.7)		 15.8
(14.6-17.1)		 17.5
(16.4-18.7)		 19.4
(17.9-21.3)		 25.7
(20.5-35.4)		 2.1
(1.4-3.2)		 8.7
(4.6-13.4)
Fontan 10.0
(8.8-10.8)		 13.1
(12.5-13.7)		 14.5
(14.0-15.1)		 16.2
(15.5-16.9)		 22.4
(19.3-27.5)		 2.2
(1.9-2.9)		 9.3
(7.5-11.3)
Truncus 18.4
(13.4-23.5)		 22.6
(20.1-25.2)		 24.7
(22.7-26.9)		 27.0
(24.3-30.2)		 33.9
(26.0-45.0)		 1.9
(1.2-3.2)		 7.4
(1.7-13.5)
Norwood 17.5
(14.0-21.3)		 31.4
(29.5-33.5)		 37.1
(34.9-39.4)		 43.7
(40.7-47.1)		 67.5
(55.9-86.3)		 3.9
(2.9-5.5)		 14.2
(11.7-17.1)