TABLE 4.
Absolute risk over 9-years, number-needed-to-control, and age-adjusted parameter estimates and hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for Framingham risk factor control score for the combined outcome of any CVD (includes cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, angina, revascularizations, non-fatal stroke, transient ischemic attack, carotid artery surgery, and other peripheral vascular disease surgery). Score includes cholesterol control, blood pressure control, smoking, and aspirin use
| Absolute risk of any CVD events over 9 years (95% CI) | Age-adjusted HR (95% CI) (n=4182) | Model 1 HR (95% CI) (n=4164) | Number- needed-to control to prevent 1 CVD event over 9 years | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Risk factors controlled (n= 17, 0.41%) | 41.2% (21.6–64.0) | 3.83(1.72–8.55) | 3.54(1.59–7.91) | |
| 1 Risk factor controlled (n=594, 14.2%) | 36.7% (32.9–40.7) | 2.53(1.80–3.57) | 2.26(1.60–3.17) | 22 |
| Non-HDL-C <130 mg/dL (n=3, 0.51%) | ||||
| Blood pressure <140/<90 mmHg (n=39, 6.6%) | ||||
| Aspirin use (n=28, 4.7%) | ||||
| Non-smoking (n=524, 88.2%) | ||||
| 2 Risk factors controlled (n=1832,43.8%) | 28.3% (26.3–30.4) | 1.94(1.41–2.69) | 1.76(1.27–2.43) | 8 |
| Non-HDL-C <130 mg/dL (n=158, 8.6%) | ||||
| Blood pressure <140/<90 mmHg (n=1149, 62.7%) | ||||
| Aspirin use (n=577, 31.5%) | ||||
| Non-smoking (n=1780, 97.2%) | ||||
| 3 Risk factors controlled (n=1487, 35.6%) | 25.4% (23.3–27.7) | 1.80(1.30–2.50) | 1.65(1.19–2.29) | 6 |
| Non-HDL-C <130 mg/dL (n=408, 27.4%) | ||||
| Blood pressure <140/<90 mmHg (n=1383, 93.0%) | ||||
| Aspirin use (n=1189, 80.0%) | ||||
| Non-smoking (n=1481, 99.6%) | ||||
| 4 Risk factors controlled (n= 252, 6.0%) | 20.2% (15.7–25.6) | REFERENCE | REFERENCE | 5 |
| Test for trend P0.002 | Test for trend P0.01 |
CVD = Cardiovascular disease
HDL-C = High-density lipoprotein cholesterol
Model 1 adjusted for age, body mass index, physical activity, and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol