Figure 9.

Ninety five percentage bootstrap confidence intervals for the spike counts of the model and the empirical data. Bottom graph shows the difference between these models, where the black line is the average difference and the top of the gray area shows the maximum likely difference (MLD; Stewart and West, 2010). MLD indicates that we can be 95% confident that the model produces behavior that is accurate to within this value, thus placing an upper bound on the error in the model. The bottom of the gray area indicates the lower bounds on the model error, such that whenever the gray area does not include zero we can find a statistically significant difference between the model and the empirical data.