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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Jan 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Int Assoc Physicians AIDS Care (Chic). 2011 Sep 27;11(1):57–65. doi: 10.1177/1545109711421641

Table 3.

The Relation between Age and CD4 Response and Virologic Suppression by 6- and 12-Months on Antiretroviral Therapy at Themba Lethu Clinic, Johannesburg, South Africa (n=9139)

Failure to Achieve CD4 Count Response 6-Months 12-Months

Failure to
achieve CD4
response (n, %)
Crude RR£
(95% CI)
Adjusted RR£
(95% CI)
Failure to
achieve CD4
response (n, %)
Crude RR£
(95% CI)
Adjusted RR£
(95% CI)
Age (yrs.)
 18-29.9 223 (18.4) 1.0 1.0 79 (8.0) 1.0 1.0
 30-39.9 671 (22.1) 1.20 (1.04-1.37) 1.14 (0.99-1.32) 279 (11.2) 1.39 (1.09-1.76) 1.36 (1.06-1.743)
 40-49.9 393 (25.0) 1.35 (1.17-1.56) 1.23 (1.06-1.43) 153 (11.2) 1.50 (1.16-1.94) 1.35 (1.03-1.78)
 50-59.9 150 (29.9) 1.62 (1.35-1.94) 1.43 (1.18-1.72) 64 (15.1) 1.96 (1.44-2.67) 1.66 (1.20-2.29)
 >60 27 (35.5) 1.93 (1.39-2.67) 1.44 (1.01-2.06) 17 (27.9) 3.49 (2.21-5.50) 2.82 (1.78-4.46)
Baseline CD4 Count (cells/mm3)
 0-50 405 (18.7) 1.0 1.0 86 (4.8) 1.0 1.0
 51-100 270 (20.6) 1.10 (0.96-1.26) 1.10 (0.96-1.27) 109 (10.0) 2.06 (1.57-2.71) 2.13 (1.61-2.82)
 101-200 580 (27.0) 1.45 (1.29-1.62) 1.46 (1.31-1.64) 296 (16.8) 3.49 (2.76-4.39) 3.76 (2.96-4.79)
 201-350 145 (33.5) 1.79 (1.53-2.10) 1.77 (1.50-2.09) 72 (20.8) 4.29 (3.21-5.74) 4.67 (3.43-6.34)
Baseline Regimen
 d4T-3TC-EFV 1309 (22.9) 1.0 1.0 545 (11.6) 1.0 1.0
 d4T-3TC-NVP 95 (19.5) 0.85 (0.71-1.03) 0.94 (0.77-1.13) 27 (6.7) 0.57 (0.39-0.83) 0.66 (0.46-0.96)
 AZT-3TC-NVP / EFV 60 (31.3) 1.37 (1.10-1.70) 1.22 (0.98-1.51) 20 (12.6) 1.08 (0.71-1.64) 0.92 (0.60-1.41)
Failure to Achieve Viral Load Suppression¥ 6-Months 12-Months

Failure to
achieve viral
load suppression
(n, %)
Crude RR£
(95% CI)
Adjusted RR£
(95% CI)
Failure to
achieve viral
load
suppression
(n, %)
Crude RR£
(95% CI)
Adjusted RR£
(95% CI)
Age (yrs.)
  18-29.9 122 (10.7) 1.0 1.0 86 (9.6) 1.0 1.0
  30-39.9 256 (9.1) 0.85 (0.69-1.04) 0.87 (0.70-1.09) 204 (8.9) 0.92 (0.72-1.17) 0.93 (0.72-1.20)
  40-49.9 122 (8.1) 0.76 (0.60-0.96) 0.75 (0.58-0.98) 109 (9.6) 1.00 (0.76-1.30) 0.90 (0.67-1.21)
  50-59.9 36 (7.7) 0.71 (0.50-1.02) 0.80 (0.55-1.17) 34 (9.4) 0.98 (0.67-1.43) 1.06 (0.71-1.58)
  >60 6 (8.7) 0.81 (0.37-1.77) 0.99 (0.45-2.17) 3 (5.8) 0.60 (0.20-1.83) 0.67 (0.22-2.05)
Baseline CD4 Count (cells/mm3)
  0-50 182 (9.2) 1.0 1.0 151 (9.8) 1.0 1.0
  51-100 103 (8.7) 0.95 (0.76-1.20) 0.94 (0.74-1.19) 90 (9.8) 1.00 (0.78-1.28) 1.01 (0.79-1.04)
  101-200 171 (8.8) 0.96 (0.79-1.17) 0.96 (0.78-1.18) 123 (8.0) 0.82 (0.65-1.02) 0.82 (0.65-1.32)
  201-350 25 (6.6) 0.72 (0.48-1.07) 0.75 (0.50-1.13) 24 (7.9) 0.81 (0.53-1.22) 0.86 (0.57-1.30)
Baseline Regimen
  d4T-3TC-EFV 464 (8.7) 1.0 1.0 371 (8.8) 1.0 1.0
  d4T-3TC-NVP 55 (12.1) 1.40 (1.08-1.82) 1.42 (1.06-1.89) 50 (13.7) 1.56 (1.19-2.06) 1.53 (1.21-2.10)
  AZT-3TC-NVP / 23 (12.9) 1.48 (1.00-2.19) 1.34 (0.85-2.12) 15 (10.5) 1.20 (0.74-1.95) 1.10 (0.64-1.92)
  AZT-3TC-EFV
£

Relative risk (RR) estimated from a log-binomial regression model

Models adjusted for sex, baseline haemoglobin, baseline WHO stage and baseline BMI

Failure to achieve a CD4 response defined as an increase of ≥50 cells/mm3

¥

Failure to achieve VL suppression defined as not reaching a viral load <400 copies/ml VL, viral load; CI, confidence interval