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. 2009 Jun 23;338:b2242. doi: 10.1136/bmj.b2242

Table 3.

 Estimates for ARMA (1,1) model*: symptom severity scores over time (65 541 observations in 2560 patients from 364 clinicians)

Parameter estimate, P value Interactions with time, P value
Management
Prescribed antibiotics 0.05, 0.26 −0.01, <0.01
Network
Antwerp 0.05, 0.52 -0.01, 0.03
Balatonfured -0.27, <0.001 -0.01, 0.02
Barcelona -0.07, 0.32 0.00, 0.84
Bratislava -0.04, 0.50 -0.00, 0.29
Cardiff 0.09, 0.17 0.01, 0.02
Helsinki 0.03, 0.72 0.00, 0.62
Jonkoping 0.02, 0.78 0.01, <0.001
Lodz -0.05, 0.38 -0.01, 0.07
Mataro 0.28, <0.001 -0.02, <0.001
Milan -0.13, 0.08 0.01, <0.01
Rotenberg 0.02, 0.77 0.00, 0.98
Southampton 0.01, 0.90 0.01, 0.08
Tromso 0.11, 0.14 0.00, 0.42
Utrecht -0.05, 0.52 0.00, 0.88

*Model controls for clinician recorded symptom scores and clinical presentation as well as allowing recovery trajectory to follow cubic polynomial.