Table 10.
Outcomes | Participants (Studies), Follow-up | Quality of the Evidence (GRADE) | Relative Effect (95% CI) | Anticipated Absolute Effects Over
3 mo |
|
Risk With Clopidogrel and Aspirin | Risk Difference With Warfarin + Clopidogrel and Aspirin (95% CI) | ||||
Total mortality | 10,883 (10 RCT), 3-60 mo | Low due to indirectnessa and imprecisionb | RR 1.00 (0.82-1.22) | 25 per 1,000c | No significant difference; 0 fewer per 1,000 (from 4 fewer to 6 more) |
| |||||
MI nonfatal events | 10,883 (10 RCTs), 3-60 mo | Low due to serious indirectnessa | RR 0.69 (0.54-0.88) | 35 per 1,000c | 11 fewer per 1,000 (from 16 fewer to 4 fewer) |
| |||||
Stroke includes nonfatal ischemic and hemorrhagic strokesd | 6,709 (1 RCT), 1.3 y | Low due to indirectnessd and imprecisionb | RR 0.56 (0.39-0.82) | Anteroapical MI without LV thrombus | |
| |||||
15 per 1,000e | 7 fewer per 1,000 (from 9 fewer to 3 fewer) | ||||
| |||||
Anteroapical MI with LV thrombus | |||||
| |||||
100 per 1,000e | 44 fewer per 1,000 (from 18 fewer to 61 fewer) | ||||
| |||||
Major extracranial bleed | 10,883 (10 RCTs), 3-60 mo | Low due to indirectnessa | RR 2.37 (1.62-3.47) | 11 per 1,000c | 15 more per 1,000 (from 7 more to 27 more) |
| |||||
Burden of treatmentf | Not applicable | High | Warfarin > aspirin | Warfarin: daily medication, dietary and activity restrictions, frequent blood testing/monitoring, increased hospital/clinic visits | |
| |||||
Aspirin: daily medication only |
ACTIVE-W = Atrial Fibrillation Clopidogrel Trial With Irbesartan for Prevention of Vascular Events. See Table 1-3, and 8 legends for expansion of other abbreviations.
Relative risk for warfarin, aspirin, and clopidogrel vs dual antiplatelet therapy was derived from a meta-analysis of studies comparing warfarin plus aspirin to aspirin alone in patients following ACS.
Rated down for imprecision for total mortality due to wide CIs suggesting important harm and benefit with warfarin plus aspirin. For stroke, we rated down for imprecise baseline risk estimates.
Control group risk estimates (aspirin + clopidogrel) come from PLATO trial, adjusted to a 3-mo time frame assuming that one-half of the total events at 1 y occurred in the first 3 mo (as was the case in the PLATO trial).
We assumed that the relative risk for the outcome of nonfatal stroke (ischemic and hemorrhagic) would be the same as observed in the ACTIVE-W study, which compared warfarin to dual antiplatelet therapy (aspirin + clopidogrel). We calculated the RR and 95% CI after extracting the number of nonfatal strokes (ischemic and hemorrhagic) in each group from the published report because it did not directly report RR in the article.
Control group risk estimates for nonfatal stroke is based on an ∼1.5% rate/3 mo (see text) with clopidogrel and aspirin following anterior MI and 10% rate/3 mo in patients with anterior MI and LV thrombus. There is considerable imprecision in these estimates.
There are studies evaluating quality of life in patients during warfarin treatment (with disparate findings), but these are limited by small sample size, lack of comparator, and other design issues.