Skip to main content
. 2011 Sep 25;12:208. doi: 10.1186/1471-2474-12-208

Table 5.

Prognostic factors reported in 3 or more studies and their association with poor outcome

Prognostic factor studied Positive association with poor outcome No association
Socio-demographic/individual

Older age 0 6 [12,13,15,16,18,19]

Gender 0 5 [12-14,18,19]

Previous sciatica 0 3 [12,13,18]

Smoking 0 4 [12,14,18,19]

Higher BMI/obesity (15% overweight) 0 3 [12,15,18]

Clinical (symptoms & signs)

Longer duration of symptoms 1 [18] 3 [12,13,15]

Baseline pain/symptom severity 1 [13*] 2 [12,18]

Neurological deficit 1 [12] 3 [14,15,18]

Nerve root tension signs 1 [18] 2 [12,14]

Clinical (radiological findings)

Level of disc herniation 0 5 [12-16]

Smaller disc prolapse 1 [15] 3 [12-14]

Occupational

Heaviness of work 0 3 [14,15,19]

* Beauvais et al [13] reported that pain/symptom severity sufficient to require inpatient treatment was associated with poor outcome.

NB Komori et al [17] is excluded from this table due to poor methodological quality