Table 1. Results of epidemic appraisals for six countries using the numerical proxy classification and Modes of Transmission (MOT) analysis.
Country | Uganda | Kenya | Nigeria | Peru | Thailand | India |
Numerical proxy classification | Generalized | Generalized | Generalized | Concentrated | Generalized | Concentrated |
HIV prevalence in general population (year) [3] | 6.5 (2009) | 6.3 (2009) | 3.6 (2009) | 0.4 (2009) | 1.3 (2009) | 0.3 (2009) |
HIV prevalence within a key population (year) | FSW(47.2;2003) | FSW(31.0;2005)HR-MSM(38.0;2005)IDU(35.0;2004) | FSW(32.7;2007)HR-MSM(13.5;2007)IDU(5.6; 2007) | FSW(0.5;2008)HR-MSM(10.8;2008) | FSW(2.8;2009)HR-MSM(13.5;2009)IDU(38.7;2009) | FSW(4.7;2008)HR-MSM(7.3;2008)IDU(9.2;2008) |
MOT analysis : year | 2008 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2005 | 2010 |
Distribution of incident infections (% of total), by subgroup | ||||||
Low-risk heterosexual | 42.9 | 12.3 | 42.3 | 16.0 | 43.4 | 62.9 |
Medical injection | 0.06 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 0.23 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
Blood transfusion | 0.00 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
IDU | 0.28 | 3.8 | 9.0 | 1.9 | 5.7 | 14.1 |
Partners of IDU | 0.01 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.22 | 1.0 | 0.55 |
Female sex workers | 0.91 | 6.6 | 3.4 | 0.89 | 3.9 | 2.2 |
Clients | 7.8 | 7.5 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 6.1 | 7.0 |
Partners of clients | 1.8 | 1.6 | 3.4 | 6.4 | 8.4 | 3.0 |
HR-MSM | 0.6 | 15.2 | 10.3 | 54.9 | 20.9 | 6.2 |
Female partners of HR-MSM | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 0.26 |
Multiple partners (MP) | 23.7 | 20.3 | 9.1 | 6.3 | 3.4 | 1.2 |
Partners of MP | 21.8 | 28.3 | 14.8 | 5.5 | 3.9 | 2.2 |
HR-MSM (high-risk men who have sex with men); IDU (injecting drug user); FSW (female sex worker). Results were obtained from published sources for the following countries: Uganda (Uganda MOT and Country Report) [17], [21], Kenya (Kenya MOT and Country Report) [5], [22], Nigeria (Nigeria Country Report) [24], Peru (Peru MOT) [25], Thailand [13]. National HIV prevalence estimates for key populations in India were obtained from country level reports [48], [49].