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. 2011 Aug 5;470(4):1090–1105. doi: 10.1007/s11999-011-2004-x

Table 4.

Community resource predictors of surgical rates

Predictor Procedure Reference Categories Effect size 95% Confidence interval p Comment
Surgeon supply TJA/LSS 53 higher N/R Correlation
THA 22 OR, 1.52 0.01
THA 30 Quintiles RR, 1.06 (1.00–1.12) 0.07
THA 44 r, 0.06 0.7
TKA 14 r, −0.16 0.26
TKA 30 Quintiles RR, 1.05 (0.99–1.11) 0.023
TKA 44 r, 0.09 0.1
LSS 7 IRR, 0.98 (0.96–1.01) 0.2
LSS 54 R-sq, 0.02
Surgeon Volume LSS 8 High volume OR, 2.9 (2.5–3.2) < 0.001 Fusions to decompressions
Surgeon specialty LSS 8 Orthopaedists OR, 12.46 (10.6–14.6) < 0.001 Fusions to decompressions
LSS 54 Orthopaedists R-sq, 0.03
Surgeon attitudes TKA 61 Enthusiasm β, 6.7 < 0.001 Propensity of surgeons to operate
TKA 61 Outcome perception β, 0.14 0.08 Perception of treatment outcomes
LSS 7 Enthusiasm IRR, 1.26 (1.05–1.51) 0.013 Propensity of surgeons to recommend surgery
MD supply THA 22 MD supply OR, 0.68 N/R
THA 30 Anes supply RR, 0.9 (0.86–0.95) 0.001 Highest to lowest quintile
THA 30 MD supply RR, 0.79 (0.73–0.85) 0.001 Highest to lowest quintile
THA 37 Anes supply none
TKA 14 PMR supply r, −0.42 0.002
TKA 14 Rheum supply r, −0.25 0.08
TKA 14 PCP supply r, −0.10 0.47
TKA 30 Anes supply RR, 0.92 (0.87–0.96) 0.001 Highest to lowest quintile
TKA 30 MD supply RR, 0.91 (0.86–0.97) 0.001 Highest to lowest quintile
LSS 7 PCP supply IRR, 1.08 (0.99–1.18) 0.08
MD factors THA 36 PCP Trainers (%) r, −0.24 0.05
THA 36 Child Health GPs (%) r, −0.36 0.003
TKA 61 Female (%) β, −6.5 0.02 Linear regression parameter estimate
TKA 61 NA-trained (%) β, −4.1 0.002 Linear regression parameter estimate
LSS 7 Enthusiasm IRR, 1.14 (0.96–1.34) 0.13 Propensity of referring MDs to refer for surgery
Hospital factors THA 17 Hospital supply r, −0.66 0.073 Number of centers offering TJA
THA 22 Hospital volume OR, 2.54 0.01
THA 30 Bed occupancy RR, 0.98 (0.93–1.03) 0.12 Highest to lowest quintile
THA 30 Hosp Volume RR, 1.11 (1.05–1.18) 0.005 Highest to lowest quintile
TKA 17 Hospital supply r, −0.80 0.017 Number of centers offering TJA
TKA 30 Bed occupancy RR, 1.06 (1.00–1.12) 0.33 Highest to lowest quintile
TKA 30 Hosp Volume RR, 1.09 (1.03–1.16) 0.001 Highest to lowest quintile
Hospital type THA 22 Government Hosp OR, 0.90 N/R
THA 22 Insurance OR, 2.46 0.01 Private Insurance charges (%)
THA 22 Teaching OR, 0.85 N/R
THA 30 Teaching RR, 0.97 (0.93–1.01)
TKA 30 Teaching RR, 0.9 (0.86–0.95)
TKA 61 Teaching beds (%) β, 1.2 0.04 Linear regression parameter estimate
OR supply THA 30 Day-case OR supply RR, 0.93 (0.88–0.99) 0.12 Highest to lowest quintile
THA 30 OR supply RR, 1.11 (1.03–1.20) 0.005 Highest to lowest quintile
TKA 30 Day-case OR supply RR, 1.11 (1.04–1.18) 0.011 Highest to lowest quintile
TKA 30 OR supply RR, 0.96 (0.91–1.01) 0.018 Highest to lowest quintile
Medical costs THA 22 MD Fees OR, 0.10 0.05
THA 37 Care expenses increase 0.001 Need-adjusted expenses of specialized care
Imaging LSS 7 MRI Scanners IRR, 1.3 (1.09–1.57) 0.004
LSS 35 CT/MRI rates R2, 0.22 r, 0.47 0.001

TJA = total joint arthroplasty; LSS = lumbar spine surgery; HR = hazard ratio; OR = odds ratio; RR = rate ratio; r = correlation coefficient; β = regression parameter; IRR = incidence rate ratio; N/R = not reported; MDs = referring physicians, ORs = operating rooms; Anes = anesthesiologists; PMR = physical medicine and rehabilitation; Rheum = rheumatologists; PCP = primary care physicians; NA-trained = North-American-trained.