Phase II followed by phase III, if phase II positive (phase II → III) |
Only a 10% chance of accruing to the full phase III sample size when the experimental treatment is ineffective |
Lengthiest trial design strategy for definitively demonstrating efficacy when the experimental treatment works |
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Allows for a complete evaluation of the phase II data for starting a phase III trial, including consideration of other better experimental treatments that may have become available during the phase II accrual and evaluation |
When the experimental treatment works, this design strategy is inefficient in that the phase II patients are not used in the phase III analysis |
Phase II/III with no accrual suspension after phase II patients accrued |
Only a 10% chance of accruing to the full phase III sample size when the experimental treatment is ineffective |
Under no treatment effect, No. of accrued patients will be larger than the phase II → III design or the phase II/III design with accrual suspension |
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Phase II patients used in phase III analysis |
Phase II evaluation will be less thorough than in the phase II → III design or the phase II/III design with accrual suspension because of less complete follow-up for the phase II patients |
Phase II/III with accrual suspension after phase II patients accrued |
Only a 10% chance of accruing to the full phase III sample size when the experimental treatment is ineffective |
When the experimental treatment works, it will take longer to get definitive results than with the phase II/III trial design with no accrual suspension |
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Phase II patients used in phase III analysis |
Possible delay in bringing accrual rates up to presuspenstion levels |
Phase III (with interim inefficacy/futility monitoring) |
Quickest trial design for definitively demonstrating efficacy when the experimental treatment works |
Approximately 50% chance of accruing to the full sample size when the experimental treatment is ineffective |