Table 4.

Simulation results on forecasting by three models

Simulation Model	Fitted Model	Year Distance	Relative Bias	MSE	Coverage Rate	Interval Length
SSVM-OU	SSVM-OU	0.08	0.010	0.162	0.949	1.116
		0.5	0.019	0.232	0.951	1.336
		1	0.011	0.343	0.951	1.639
	SSVM-W	0.08	0.008	0.270	0.957	1.455
		0.5	−0.144	6.700	1	9.640
		1	−0.024	39.430	1	23.974
	LMM	0.08	−0.165	1.508	0.994	3.465
		0.5	−0.061	2.206	0.936	3.547
		1	−0.303	3.442	0.742	3.661
LMM	SSVM-OU	0.08	0.001	0.034	0.915	0.483
		0.5	0.077	0.069	0.974	0.781
		1	0.092	0.155	0.996	1.249
	SSVM-W	0.08	−0.021	0.046	0.920	0.565
		0.5	0.075	0.384	1.000	2.152
		1	−0.040	1.905	1.000	5.085
	LMM	0.08	−0.007	0.028	0.943	0.456
		0.5	0.026	0.030	0.943	0.478
		1	−0.006	0.034	0.952	0.510