Table 2.
GBD category | N GBD 2005 code | ICD-10# | Reference to meta-analyses/systematic reviews | Effect |
---|---|---|---|---|
Tuberculosis | IA | A15-A19, B90 | [32;34;241] Technical meeting 2008 concluded sufficient evidence for a causal impact [32]. | Detrimental |
Human Immunodeficiency Virus / Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (HIV/AIDS) | IB | B20-B24 | [32;43;44;46;48] There is not sufficient evidence to conclude a causal impact on incidence, but there is sufficient evidence of causal impact on course of disease, which can in part be modelled. | Detrimental |
Mouth, nasopharynx, other pharynx and oropharynx cancer | IIA1-IIA2b | C00-C13 | [4;9;16-20;242;243] Enough data to calculate RR for subcategories of disease, e.g. [68;244]. IARC confirmed cancers of the oral cavity and pharynx to be causally related to alcohol drinking in monograph meeting of February 2007 [59]. | Detrimental |
Oesophagus cancehr | IIA3 | C15 | [4;9;16-20;68;242;245] IARC confirmed oesophagus cancer to be causally related to alcohol drinking in monograph meeting of February 2007 [59]. | Detrimental |
Stomach cancer | IIA4 | C16 | [246] IARC concluded inadequate evidence that alcohol causes stomach cancer because of the inconsistency of the research evidence. Last IARC meeting concluded a possible relationship but confounding of smoking and dietary habits could not be excluded [59]. | Detrimental |
Colon and rectum cancer | IIA5 | C18-C21 | [9;67-69;244;247] IARC newly included colorectal cancer as causally related to alcohol drinking in monograph meeting of February 2007 [59]. | Detrimental |
Liver cancer | IIA6 | C22 | [4;9;16-20;68;244] IARC confirmed primary liver cancer as causally related to alcohol drinking in monograph meeting of February 2007 [59]. | Detrimental |
Larynx cancer | IIA9 | C32 | [4;9;16-20;68;242-244;248;249] IARC confirmed larynx cancer to be causally related to alcohol drinking in monograph meeting of February 2007 [59]. | Detrimental |
Trachea, bronchus and lung cancer | IIA10 | C33, C34 | Was excluded from the list of outcomes causally related to alcohol by [4]. This decision has not been revised by any further meta-analysis. Recent meta-analyses on alcohol and lung cancer found mixed results [244;250-252], but even when RRs were elevated for heavy consumption, confounding by smoking could not be fully excluded [250]. The last substantive reviews found no sufficient support for a causal relation [253;254]. Last IARC meeting concluded a possible relationship but confounding of smoking and dietary habits could not be excluded [59]. | Detrimental |
Breast cancer (female) | IIA13 | C50 | [9;16-20;68;70-73;244;255-257] [4] concluded there was only limited evidence for causality, although they found a consistent relationship. Subsequent studies using the same criteria concluded that there was sufficient evidence of a relationship. IARC newly included breast cancer as causally related to alcohol drinking in monograph meeting of February 2007 [59]. | Detrimental |
Other neoplasms | IIB | D00-D48 (except D09.9, D37.9, D38.6, D39.9, D40.9, D41.9, D48.9) | [9] Mixed category, no assessment of causality possible. | Detrimental |
Diabetes mellitus | IIC | E10-E13 | [4;9;16;17;19;258-260] [4] found only inadequate evidence of causality. Subsequent studies using the same criteria for causality revised this decision (see also [261]). | Mainly beneficial |
Alzheimer’s disease and other dementias | IIF1 | F01-F03, G30, G31 | [262-265] Overall, studies showed a beneficial effect with the beneficial effects on the ischaemic system being the main potential explanation [266]. However, studies show substantial heterogeneity and confounding and other explanations could not be ruled out [261;264;267]. | Mainly beneficial |
Unipolar depressive disorders | IIE1 | F32, F33, F34.1 | [9] Available data is not sufficient for meta-analyses, for estimating RRs or AAFs. While there is agreement that some of the unipolar depressive disorders are caused by alcohol consumption (for a examination of causal criteria see [1]), the determination of the AAF was not possible, as it could not be determined which portion of the association between alcohol consumption and depressive disorders was caused by alcohol consumption, which portion by depression, and which portion by a third cause impacting both alcohol consumption and depression. | Detrimental |
Epilepsy | IIF3 | G40, G41 | [4;9;16-20;89] Meta-analyses did not distinguish between primary epilepsy/unprovoked seizures and provoked seizures such as alcohol withdrawal induced seizures. We will conduct a new systematic review and meta-analysis consistent with GBD definition of primary epilepsy/unprovoked seizures. | Detrimental |
Hypertensive heart disease | IIH2 | I11-I13 | [4;9;10;16-20;68] Because of lack of data for I11-I13 only, we included essential hypertension in our analyses (I10). | Detrimental, may depend on patterns of drinking for low volume |
Ischaemic heart disease | IIH3 | I20-I25 | [4;9;16-20;68;108;113;268] Most recent meta-analysis [108] found heterogeneity among studies. Pattern of drinking must be included in analysis [9;115;116;118] to reduce this heterogeneity. | Beneficial or detrimental, depending on patterns of drinking for low to medium volume; detrimental effect for high volume |
Cardiomyopathy | IIH6 | I42 | Not clear if alcohol has a relationship to cardiomyopathy over and beyond the subcategory of alcoholic cardiomyopathy I42.6. Systematic review is ongoing. | Detrimental |
Conduction disorders and other dysrhythmias | IIH7 | I47-I48 | [4;9;16-20] Not yet included into prior CRAs yet, but as GBD 2005 has established a new code for dysrhythmias, the epidemiological assessment of underlying causality applies. | Detrimental |
Heart failure (no GBD category) | No GBD code; the respective ICD codes will be redistributed in GBD 2005 | [4;9;16;17;19;20] This is an unspecific category with no identification of underlying pathology. Therefore, the relationship between average volume of consumption and outcome was usually not determined by meta-analyses, but indirectly from other circulatory diseases. | Detrimental | |
Ischaemic stroke | IIH4a | I63-I67, I69.3 | [4;9;16-20;68;155;222;269;270] | Beneficial or detrimental dependent on patterns of drinking (similar to IHD) |
Haemorrhagic and other non-ischaemic stroke | IIH4b | I60-I62, I69.0, I69.1, I69.2 | [4;9;16-20;68;155;160;222;269-271] | Mainly detrimental, except for low doses |
Oesophageal varices (no GBD category) | No GBD code; the respective ICD codes will be redistributed in GBD 2005 | [4;9;16-20] Not based on meta-analyses. As most oesophageal varices are due to liver cirrhosis, the AAFs derived for unspecific liver cirrhosis are usually applied. No GBD category. | Detrimental | |
Lower respiratory infections: pneumonia | IK1 | J09-J22, J85, P23 | Influenza and pneumonia had not been included into GBD so far. However, the transfer to GBD is only possible for disease categories with J10-18 as definition, as the epidemiological studies are usually restricted to these codes. Also, the impact of alcohol use is restricted to community-acquired pneumonia. | Detrimental |
Cirrhosis of the liver | IIJ6 | K70, K73-K74 | [4;9;16-20;68] and the other meta-analyses included studies on all kinds of liver cirrhosis, included the ones defined as caused by alcohol by definition (see Table 1 above). | Detrimental |
Gall bladder and bile duct disease | IIJ7 | K80-K83 | [4;16-20] Beneficial effect only found for K80 (cholelithiasis); the above references are limited to this. | Beneficial |
Pancreatitis | IIJ8 | K85-K86 | [4;9;16-20;68] Usually determined by clinical case studies (but see [222]. There are sub-categories of alcohol-induced acute (K85.2) and chronic pancreatitis (K86.0). We are currently conducting a new meta-analysis which will include all forms of pancreatitis. | Detrimental |
Other digestive diseases | IIJ9 | K20-K22, K28-K31, K38, K57-K63, K75.2, K75.3, K75.4, K76-K77, K90-K92 (except K92.0, K92.1, K92.2, K92.9) | [4;9;16-20] Detrimental effect of alcohol has only been found for K22.6 (gastro-oesophageal haemorrhage). AAFs for this category were not based on meta-analyses but clinically documented. The above references are limited to K22.6. | Detrimental |
Psoriasis | IIL2 | L40-L41 | [4;9;16;17;19;20;184-186;189] Overall insufficient evidence on the causal impact of alcohol on the association with psoriasis. As this condition had been included in other analyses of alcohol on burden of disease, we included an overview on the evidence as part of the text. | Detrimental |
Abortion | IIN1 | O00-O08 | [4;9;16;17;19;20] To be applied to the fraction of women with alcohol consumption during pregnancy. | Detrimental |
Preterm birth complications | IM1 | P05-P07, P22, P25-P28, P77 | [4;9;16;17;19;20;272-276] To be applied to the fraction of women with alcohol consumption during pregnancy. [4] concluded that for all birth defects combined (ICD-10: Q00-Q99) there was inadequate evidence for a causation of alcohol during pregnancy. Other reviews, based on the same criteria for causality as [4] concluded sufficient evidence for a causal effect. | Detrimental |
The shaded rows indicate conditions for which the current analyses concluded sufficient evidence for a causal relationship and sufficient data on outcomes and risk relations to be included into the CRA 2005.
The ICD-10 code refers to the respective categories as defined by GBD 2005. These may include fewer codes than elsewhere, as GBD separately identifies ill-specified codes [so called garbage code(s)], which are to be redistributed to more meaningful codes based on specified procedures.
AAF - alcohol-attributable fraction; CRA - Comparative Risk Assessment; GBD - Global Burden of Disease and Injury; IARC – International Agency for Research on Cancer; ICD - International Classification of Diseases; IHD - ischaemic heart disease; RR – relative risk