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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Mar 16.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Appl Stat. 2011;5(3):1816–1838. doi: 10.1214/11-aoas474

Table 7.

Conditional contact probabilities used for simulations, mean estimated at home probabilities over 500 simulations, and 2.5% and 97.5% quantiles of the estimates.

Age 1 Age 2 Truth Mean of estimates 95% Quantile Interval
0–5 0–5 1.00 1.00 [1.00, 1.00]
6–11 0.90 0.89 [0.78, 1.00]
12–18 0.67 0.67 [0.32, 0.99]
19–35 0.99 0.96 [0.86, 1.00]
36+ 0.96 0.93 [0.81, 1.00]
6–11 6–11 1.00 0.94 [0.79, 1.00]
12–18 1.00 0.93 [0.78, 1.00]
19–35 0.96 0.89 [0.76, 1.00]
36+ 0.91 0.83 [0.72, 0.94]
12–18 12–18 0.88 0.80 [0.63, 0.98]
19–35 0.65 0.59 [0.41, 0.78]
36+ 0.91 0.80 [0.71, 0.87]
19–35 19–35 0.80 0.75 [0.56, 0.99]
36+ 0.83 0.74 [0.64, 0.82]
36+ 36+ 0.89 1.00 [0.99, 1.00]