Table 2.
Estimates of the Regression Coefficients in the Models of Cognitive and Functional Decline
Barthel Score |
Blessed Score |
|||
Est | 95% CI | Est | 95% CI | |
Age | −0.28 | −0.32 to −0.24 | −0.15 | −0.20 to −0.11 |
Gender (male) | 0.96 | 0.76 to 1.16 | 0.51 | 0.33 to 0.68 |
Cent | 0.76 | 0.40 to 1.12 | 0.49 | 0.16 to 0.83 |
Semi | 2.1 | 1.67 to 2.48 | 1.28 | 0.91 to 1.66 |
Super | 2.5 | 1.68 to 3.26 | 2.20 | 1.25 to 3.166 |
Cent × Age | −0.12 | −0.17 to −0.06 | −0.07 | −0.12 to −0.01 |
Semi × Age | −0.09 | −0.14 to −0.03 | −0.14 | −0.20 to −0.08 |
Super × Age | Not significant | −0.14 | −0.24 to −0.04 |
Notes: Estimate of the regression coefficients and 95% credible intervals for the logit transformation of Barthel score (columns 1 and 2) and Blessed score (columns 3 and 4). The regression coefficients labeled as “cent,” “semi,” and “super” are the effects of the centenarian groups and the regression coefficient labeled as “Cent × Age,” “Semi × Age,” and “Super × Age” are the interaction terms that change the rate of decline with age in the different centenarian age groups. For example, the rate of decline of the logit-transformed Barthel score with age in nonagenarians is −0.28; the rate of decline of the logit-transformed Barthel score with age in centenarians is −0.28 − 0.12 and is −0.28 − 0.09 in semisupercentenarians. Ages were centered at the mean value. The estimates of regression coefficients and 95% CI were computed as the median, 2.5 and 97.5 percentiles from 45,000 samples generated from the posterior distribution of the parameters, using Markov Chain Monte Carlo.