Table 1. Possible ranges of uncertain parameters of the model, and medians and interquartile ranges which resulted from the fitting process.

Parameter	Name	Range	Median (25%/75% Quartiles)
Invasion probability	p	0.5–1	0.66 (0.57/0.82)
Replication	r	15–50	23.91 (18.66/30.94)
Innate efficiency	fa	5–20	7.59 (6.12/9.22)
Adaptive efficiency	fb	20–120	38.48 (28.73/49.23)
Innate threshold	A	30–80	66.57 (53.32/73.96)
Adaptive threshold	B	10–50	27.46 (18.37/37.39)
Antigenically distinct variant clusters	m	3–20	12 (6/14)