Table 1.

Simulation input parameters

Population size	100,000 individuals
Index cases	100 index cases
Latency duration	12 days (gamma distributed; C.V. = 18%)
Prodromal fever duration	3 days (constant)
Early rash duration	3 days (constant)
Middle rash duration	3 days (constant)
Late rash duration	16 days (constant)
Observation duration	21 days (constant)
Case detection	unobserved cases: 2 days after onset of early rash (constant) observed cases: immediately after onset of prodromal fever
Case isolation capacity	500 units
Contact tracing finds	100% of close contacts 10% (maximum: 20 per case) of casual contacts
Case isolation prevents	100% of close contacts 100% of casual contacts
Seclusion prevents	50% of close contacts 100% of casual contacts
Case fatality ratio	30% (after early rash)