Table 2.

Fits to two single-cycle viral yield experiments (Figure 4)

A/Udorn/307/72 (H3N2) [28]
Dista	c(h–1)			τL (h)	σL	(h)	SSR	AICc
exp	(0)b	0	2.4 × 106	1200	—	830	4.86	16.7
δ	(0)	8.1 × 103	7.7 × 105	10.7	—	10.7	0.90	6.6
N	(0)	3.3 × 103	8.3 × 105	11.1	1.5 h	11.1	0.039	17.8
		[2.5:4.4]c	[5.9:12.7]	[9.8:12.5]	[0.8:2.2]
lnN	(0)	3.4 × 103	8.2 × 105	10.9	0.15	10.9	0.041	18.1
		[2.4:4.1]	[5.6:12.8]	[9.7:12.6]	[0.08:0.22]
exp	(0.2)	0	1036	1032	—	1032	5.79	17.8
δ	(0.2)	27000	1.8 × 106	11.4	—	11.4	1.73	10.5
N	(0.2)	4.8 × 103	2.6 × 106	14.0	2.7 h	14.0	0.068	21.1
		[3.1:7.7]	[1.8:4.4]	[13.0:15.9]	[2.3:3.3]
lnN	(0.2)	5.3 × 103	5.2 × 106	19.3	0.37	19.3	0.144	25.6
		[2.8:10]	[1.7:11.0]	[12.5:57.9]	[0.22:0.58]
A/NWS/33 (H1N1) [32]
Dist	c(h–1)			τL (h)	σL	(h)	SSR	AICc
exp	(0)	0	1.4 × 1026	4.8 × 1023	—	3.3 × 1023	8.30	2.8
δ	(0)	1300	1.2 × 105	10.9	—	10.9	2.77	-11.4
N	(0)	4.7 × 102	1.5 × 105	12.7	2.5 h	12.7	0.090	-51.7
		[3.8:5.7]	[1.1:2.2]	[11.5:14.1]	[2.1:3.0]
lnN	(0)	5.3 × 102	2.3 × 105	15.3	0.33	15.3	0.167	-43.6
		[4.1:6.6]	[1.1:9.2]	[11.6:26.1]	[0.24:0.47]
exp	(0)	0	4.5 × 1031	9.1 × 1028	—	6.3 × 1028	11.0	6.5
δ	(0.2)	1.8 × 103	9.6 × 104	7.9	—	7.9	2.11	-15.0
N	(0.2)	9.3 × 102	3.8 × 105	14.4	3.0 h	14.4	0.099	-50.4
		[3.9:11]	[1.1:5.9]	[11.6: 21.9]	[0.3:3.3]
lnN	(0.2)	1.1 × 103	1.2 × 106	23.8	0.44	23.8	0.22	-40.0
		[0.79:1.4]	[0.37:6.0]	[15.3:109]	[0.32:0.71]

a — Distribution used: exponential (exp), Dirac delta (δ), normal (N), and lognormal (lnN).

b — Values in parantheses were held fixed

c — 95% confidence intervals are given in brackets for the normal and lognormal fits.