Table 3.
Pooled relative risks (95% confidence intervals) of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis by smoking category at baseline
| No. of cases | Person- years | RRa (95% CI) | p | p for heterogeneityc | RRb (95% CI) | P | p for heterogeneityc | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All | ||||||||
| Never smokers | 258 | 5,280,234 | 1.0 (ref) | 1.0 (ref) | ||||
| Former smokers | 450 | 5,401,310 | 1.44 (1.23–1.68) | <0.0001 | 0.97 | 1.46 (1.25–1.71) | <0.0001 | 0.95 |
| Current smokers | 108 | 1,905,109 | 1.42 (1.07–1.88) | 0.016 | 0.26 | 1.34 (0.99–1.82) | 0.06 | 0.2 |
| Ever smokers | 558 | 7,314,081 | 1.42 (1.22–1.66) | <0.0001 | 0.97 | 1.43 (1.23–1.66) | <0.0001 | 0.83 |
| 1–20 pack-years | 221 | 3,652,575 | 1.31 (1.07–1.57) | 0.004 | 0.74 | 1.31 (1.09–1.57) | 0.004 | 0.77 |
| 21–35 pack-years | 169 | 1,793,611 | 1.71 (1.30–2.25) | <0.0001 | 0.21 | 1.70 (1.26–2.28) | <0.0001 | 0.16 |
| >35 pack-years | 152 | 1,671,689 | 1.43 (1.13–1.79) | 0.002 | 0.37 | 1.42 (1.10–1.84) | 0.008 | 0.27 |
| Pack-years: | ||||||||
| P for trend | 0.001 | 0.30 | 0.004 | 0.24 | ||||
| P for trend (smokers only) | 0.60 | 0.07 | 0.60 | 0.07 | ||||
|
| ||||||||
| Male | ||||||||
| Never smokers | 134 | 1,815,677 | 1.0 (ref) | 1.0 (ref) | ||||
| Former smokers | 300 | 2,978,458 | 1.26 (1.03–1.55) | 0.03 | 0.98 | 1.30 (1.06–1.89) | 0.01 | 0.99 |
| Current smokers | 52 | 595,189 | 1.35 (0.97–1.87) | 0.07 | 0.91 | 1.36 (0.98–1.89) | 0.07 | 0.87 |
| Ever smokers | 352 | 3,577,576 | 1.28 (1.04–1.56) | 0.02 | 0.97 | 1.31 (1.07–1.61) | 0.009 | 0.96 |
| 1–20 pack-years | 110 | 1,557,353 | 1.02 (0.79–1.31) | 0.90 | 0.98 | 1.03 (0.80–1.34) | 0.80 | 0.99 |
| 21–35 pack-years | 127 | 928,757 | 1.80 (1.40–2.31) | <0.0001 | 0.38 | 1.84 (1.44–2.36) | <0.0001 | 0.40 |
| >35 pack-years | 107 | 1,006,466 | 1.25 (0.90–1.76) | 0.20 | 0.25 | 1.31 (0.91–1.88) | 0.15 | 0.21 |
| Pack-years: | ||||||||
| P for trend | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 0.12 | ||||
| P for trend (smokers only) | 0.38 | 0.05 | 0.24 | 0.09 | ||||
|
| ||||||||
| Female | ||||||||
| Never smokers | 124 | 3,464,557 | 1.0 (ref) | 1.0 (ref) | ||||
| Former smokers | 150 | 2,422,852 | 1.65 (1.27–2.14) | <0.001 | 0.34 | 1.65 (1.29–2.12) | <0.001 | 0.35 |
| Current smokers | 56 | 1,309,920 | 1.47 (0.86–2.49) | 0.16 | 0.05 | 1.34 (0.79–2.28) | 0.28 | 0.05 |
| Ever smokers | 206 | 3,736,504 | 1.56 (1.16–2.08) | 0.003 | 0.19 | 1.52 (1.15–2.02) | 0.004 | 0.22 |
| 1–20 pack-years | 111 | 2,095,223 | 1.64 (1.19–2.27) | 0.003 | 0.22 | 1.62 (1.18–2.21) | 0.003 | 0.25 |
| 21–35 pack-years | 42 | 864,854 | 1.41 (0.96–2.07) | 0.08 | 0.38 | 1.36 (0.93–1.98) | 0.11 | 0.40 |
| >35 pack-years | 45 | 665,224 | 1.73 (1.11–2.68) | 0.02 | 0.24 | 1.64 (1.04–2.58) | 0.03 | 0.22 |
| Pack-years: | ||||||||
| P for trend | 0.08 | 0.21 | 0.12 | 0.19 | ||||
| P for trend, (smokers only) | 0.73 | 0.18 | 0.07 | 0.16 | ||||
adjusted for age, sex (for analysis of total)
adjusted for age, body mass index, physical activity, education level, sex (for analysis of total)
p values for the tests of heterogeneity between studies were calculated using the Q statistic
RR=relative risk; CI= confidence interval