Table 1.
Annual HIV Transmission Rates per 100 Persons Living with HIV [T(x)], 2006-2008
| Year (x) | HIV | Lower | Upper | HIV | Lower | Upper | Deaths | HIV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Incidence | Bound | Bound | Prevalence | Bound | Bound | Implied By I(x), | Transmission Rate | |
| I(x) | I(x) | I(x) | P(x) | P(x) | P(x) | P(x), & P(x-1)* | T(x)=[I(x)/P(x)]*100 | |
| Base Case | ||||||||
| 2006 | 48,600 | NA | NA | 1,106,400 | NA | NA | NA | 4.39 |
| 2007 | 56,000 | NA | NA | 1,142,400 | NA | NA | 20,000 | 4.90 |
| 2008 | 47,800 | NA | NA | 1,178,350 | NA | NA | 11,850 | 4.06 |
| "Lower Bound" | ||||||||
| 2006 | NA | 42,400 | NA | NA | 1,056,400 | NA | NA | 4.01 |
| 2007 | NA | 49,100 | NA | NA | 1,092,400 | NA | 13,100 | 4.49 |
| 2008 | NA | 41,800 | NA | NA | 1,128,350 | NA | 5,850 | 3.70 |
| "Upper Bound" | ||||||||
| 2006 | NA | NA | 54,700 | NA | NA | 1,156,400 | NA | 4.73 |
| 2007 | NA | NA | 62,900 | NA | NA | 1,192,400 | 26,900 | 5.28 |
| 2008 | NA | NA | 53,800 | NA | NA | 1,228,350 | 17,850 | 4.38 |
*
Note: These figures can be compared to CDC's reported (and estimated) deaths for persons living with HIV in years 2006, 2007 and 2008 which are 15,074 (16,319), 14,162 (16,297) and 12,875 (16,769), respectively [12].