Table 2. Epidemiological Impacts of 4 ART Coverage Scenarios in 3 Countries.

Epidemiology			Late 2000's	Mid 2030's
Country	Indicators		Initial Characteristics	Scenario S0 No Access	Scenario S1 Aid Freeze	Scenario S2a Universal Access	Scenario S2b Extended Universal Access
Swaziland	Prevalence	HIV Prevalence (in percent)	25.88	21.91	22.45	26.81	12.86
2007 – 2037		PLWHIV (in thousands)	151	350	362	458	223
		Proportion of HIV++ among PLWHIV	0.310	0.290	0.312	0.459	0.462
		Number of Adults aged 15-49 (in thousands)	582	1,600	1,611	1,708	1,737
	Deaths	Deaths from 2032 onwards (in thousands)	n/a	111	108	67	52
		Deaths from 2032 onwards due to HIV (in percent)	n/a	79.9	79.3	67.4	29.6
		Cum. Deaths from 2007 onwards (in thousands)	n/a	439	412	252	201
	Infections	Cum. Infections from 2007 onwards (in thousands)	n/a	615	615	615	272
Tanzania	Prevalence	HIV Prevalence (in percent)	6.35	5.35	5.47	6.68	3.38
2009 – 2034		PLWHIV (in thousands)	1,195	1,972	2,021	2,500	1,270
		Proportion of HIV++ among PLWHIV	0.32	0.26	0.28	0.41	0.45
		Number of Adults aged 15-49 (in thousands)	18,828	36,894	36,952	37,428	37,612
	Deaths	Deaths from 2029 onwards (in thousands)	n/a	643	617	441	345
		Deaths from 2029 onwards due to HIV (in percent)	n/a	57.2	56.5	37.4	16
		Cum. Deaths from 2009 onwards (in thousands)	n/a	3,144	2,989	2,135	1,811
	Infections	Cum. Infections from 2009 onwards (in thousands)	n/a	3,655	3,655	3,655	1,811
Cameroon	Prevalence	HIV Prevalence (in percent)	5.13	4.67	4.78	6	2.90
2009 – 2034		PLWHIV (in thousands)	471	863	884	1,124	545
		Proportion of HIV++ among PLWHIV	0.3	0.27	0.29	0.44	0.48
		Number of Adults aged 15–49 (in thousands)	9,169	18,480	18,504	18,733	18,825
	Deaths	Deaths from 2029 onwards (in thousands)	n/a	413	404	311	264
		Deaths from 2029 onwards due to HIV (in percent)	n/a	45	43.9	26.3	9.7
		Cum. Deaths from 2009 onwards (in thousands)	n/a	1,817	1,765	1,376	1,219
	Infections	Cum. Infections from 2009 onwards (in thousands)	n/a	1,584	1,584	1,584	760