Table 3. Economic Impacts of 4 ART Coverage Scenarios in 3 Countries.

Economics			Late 2000's	Mid 2030's
Country	Indicator		Initial Characteristics	Scenario S0 No Access	Scenario S1 Aid Freeze	Scenario S2a Universal Access	Scenario S2b Extended Universal Access
Swaziland 2007 –2037	ART Coverage	ART Coverage of HIV++ population (in percent)	42	0	17	100	149
		Individuals under ART (in thousands)	20	0	20	210	154
	ART Costs	Total ART Cost from 2032 onwards (in millions USD)	n/a	0	72	753	590
		Total ART Cost from 2007 onwards (in millions USD)	n/a	0	496	3,115	3,336
	GDP	GDP per Capita (in USD)	4,466	4,905	4,921	5,068	5,115
		Overall GDP (in billions USD)	2.6	7.85	7.93	8.66	8.88
		GDP gap from 2007 onwards (in millions USD)	n/a	Reference	2,668	16,067	19,630
		GDP gains / ART Costs from 2007 onwards	n/a	Reference	5.37	5.16	5.88
Tanzania 2009 – 2034	ART Coverage	ART Coverage of HIV++ population (in percent)	31	0	19	100	149
		Individuals under ART (in thousands)	119	0	110	1,103	856
	ART Costs	Total ART Cost from 2029 onwards (in millions USD)	n/a	0	402	3,670	3,320
		Total ART Cost from 2009 onwards (in millions USD)	n/a	0	2,672	15,980	18,432
	GDP	GDP per Capita (in USD)	699.5	704.2	704.5	707.2	708.3
		Overall GDP (in billions USD)	13.17	25.98	26.03	26.47	26.64
		GDP gap from 2009 onwards (in millions USD)	n/a	Reference	1,696	10,138	12,712
		GDP gains / ART Costs from 2009 onwards	n/a	Reference	0.64	0.63	0.69
Cameroon 2009 – 2034	ART Coverage	ART Coverage of HIV++ population (in percent)	25	0	14	100	149
		Individuals under ART (in thousands)	35	0	36	492	390
	ART Costs	Total ART Cost from 2029 onwards (in millions USD)	n/a	0	131	1,769	1,516
		Total ART Cost from 2009 onwards (in millions USD)	n/a	0	848	7,239	8,060
	GDP	GDP per Capita (in USD)	2,062	2,159	2,160	2,171	2,176
		Overall GDP (in billions USD)	18.9	39.9	39.96	40.67	40.95
		GDP gap from 2009 onwards (in millions USD)	n/a	Reference	1,911	14,989	18,973
		GDP gains / ART Costs from 2009 onwards	n/a	Reference	2.27	2.07	2.35