Skip to main content
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Feb 1.
Published in final edited form as: J Immigr Minor Health. 2012 Feb;14(1):65–81. doi: 10.1007/s10903-011-9497-y

Table 3.

Survival after AIDS diagnosis

First Author,
Publication Year
(Reference No.)
Source of Data,
Location, Year
Study population N,
%male, %Hispanic
Age (median) Follow-up period Outcome of
Interest
Result
Nash 2005 (30) 1993-2001 AIDS
surveillance data
reported to the
New York City
Department of
Health and Mental
Hygiene HIV/AIDS
Reporting System
(HARS)
NYC Vital Statistics
Registry
≥13 year-old
people living with
AIDS (PLWA) in
NYC, alive at any
time during 1993-
2001
N=48,742
M: 71.3%
H: 34.4%
42% between 30-
39 years old
Median follow up
3.7 years

Followed until Dec.
31, 2001
HIV-related
mortality rate AIDS
diagnosis
HIV-related death rate
(per 1000 PLWA)
Adjusted RR (2001)*
White 18.5 Ref
Black 34.4 1.4 (1.2-1.6)
Hispanic 28.8 1.2 (1.1-1.4)
* adjusted for sex, age at AIDS diagnosis, transmission risk category,
borough of residence, stage of disease at AIDS diagnosis, time since
AIDS diagnosis, and first CD4 count

Sackoff 2006 (31) 1999-2004 AIDS
surveillance data
reported to the
New York City
Department of
Health and Mental
Hygiene HIV/AIDS Reporting System
(HARS)

NYC Vital Statistics
Registry
≥ 13 years old
PLWA, alive
at any time
between 1999 and
2004
N=68,669
M: 69.9%
H: 33.4%
46 years old Followed until Dec.
31, 2004
HIV mortality rate
from AIDS
diagnosis
HIV-related death rate
(per 10,000 PLWA)
Adjusted RR*
White 183.3 (158.0-208.7) Ref.
Black 369.1 (352.4-385.8) 1.17 (1.09-1.25)
Hispanic 289.5 (272.0-307.1) 1.01 (0.94-1.09)
*adjusted for age, sex, HIV transmission category, borough, residence
in an area of poverty, year of AIDS diagnosis, and lowest CD4
lymphocyte count.

Hall 2006 (17) 1996-2001, CDC
surveillance data
of AIDS diagnosis
from 50 states
≥13 years old.
AIDS diagnosis
from 1996-2001
N=262,744
M:76%
H:20%
42% were between
30-39 years old
Followed until Dec.
31, 2002
3-year survival
after AIDS
diagnosis
3-year survival
(Percentage)
RR of death at 3 years*
White 82.3 (82.0-82.6) Ref.
Black 77.2 (77.0-77.5) 1.15 (1.12-1.18)
Hispanic 79.0 (78.6-79.3) 1.16 (1.13-1.20)
*adjusted for sex, age, transmission category, CD4 count at diagnosis,
diagnosis year, and population density of area at diagnosis

Espinoza 2009 (12) 1996-2004 CDC
surveillance data
from 48 US border
counties in 4 states
(CA, NM,TX,AZ)
≥13 year with AIDS
diagnosis between
1996-2004
N= 12,377
M: 88.5%
Hi: 46.8%

19.7% foreign-
born
72% between 30-
49 years old
Followed until
June 2007
3-year survival
after AIDS
diagnosis
3 year survival
(Percentage)
White 84.0 (83.7-84.2)
Black 81.7 (81.7-81.8)
Hispanic 81.7 (81.4-82.0)
*adjusted for sex, age group, place of birth, race/ethnicity,
transmission group, year of diagnosis, and CD4 lymphocyte count at
time of diagnosis

Espinoza 2008 (13) 1996-2003
CDC surveillance
data from U.S. 50
states, D.C., and 5-
US-dependent areas
AIDS diagnosis
among Hispanics in
adolescents and
adults
N=69,484
M: 77.5%
H:100%
70% were between
30-49 years old
Followed until
June 2007
Survival time after
diagnosis of AIDS
Survival 36 months after AIDS diagnosis
Place of birth % (95% confidence interval)
U.S. 80.8 (80.6-81.0)
Puerto Rico 73.6 (73.4-73.8)
Mexico 81.6 (81.4-81.7)
Central America 83.4 (83.3-83.5)
* adjusted for sex, age group, transmission category, and CD4 count at
time of diagnosis

Woldemichael
2009 (33)
1993-2001
surveillance data
reported to the
Chicago
Department of
Public Health
≥ 13years old
diagnosed with
AIDS between Jan.
1993 and Dec.
2001

Only post-HAART
data included here
(1996-2001)
N=5806 (post-
HAART)
M:78%
H:15%
74% between 30-
49 years old
Until Dec 31, 2003 1,3 and 5 year
survival estimates
after AIDS
diagnosis
5-year survival
(Proportion)
Adjusted HR
for HIV-related death*
White 0.83 Ref.
Black 0.73 1.51 (1.26-1.80)
Hispanic 0.79 1.22 (0.97-1.53)
* adjusted for gender, mode of transmission, age at diagnosis, and
opportunistic diseases.

Arnold 2009 (25) 1996-2006 AIDS
surveillance data
reported to the
San Francisco
Department of
Public Health (SFDPH)
AIDS diagnosis
between Jan 1,
1996 to Dec. 31,
2000, aged ≥15,
and surviving at
least 30 days from
AIDS diagnosis
N=3866
M: 89.9%
H: 14.6%
55% between 29-
59 years old
Until Dec. 31,2006 Time from AIDS
diagnosis to AIDS
death and all-
cause mortality
5 year all cause mortality HR*
Model 1 Full Model
White Ref. Ref.
Black 1.24 (1.02-1.51) 0.88 (0.72-1.08)
Hispanic 0.82 (0.64-1.06) 0.77 (0.59-1.00)
* Model 1 adjusted for transmission risk. Full model adjusted for
transmission risk, neighborhood socioeconomic context, age at
diagnosis, insurance status, and ARV initiation

Hall 2007 (15) 1994-2004, CDC
surveillance data
from 25 states
MSM≥13 years old
with AIDS
diagnosis between
1996-2002
N= 62,045
M:100%
H:16%
47% between 30-
39 years old
Followed until
2004
3-year survival
after AIDS
diagnosis
3 year survival*
(Percentage)
White 84.5 (84.2-84.8)
Black 80.6 (80.2-81.0)
Hispanic 85.2 (84.9-85.4)
*adjusted for age, diagnosis year, and baseline CD4

Espinoza 2007 (11) 1996-2003, CDC
surveillance data
from 50 U.S. states
Heterosexuallv-
acauired. > 13
years old with AIDS
diagnosis between
1996-2003
N=86923
M:44%
H:NR
35% were between
30-39 years old
Followed until
June 2005
1,2,3, and 4 year
survival estimates
Adjusted 4-year survival probability*
Male Female
White 0.82(0.81-0.82) White 0.81(0.81-0.81)
Black 0.79(0.77-0.80) Black 0.76(0.76-0.77)
Hispanic 0.85(0.85-0.86) Hispanic 0.84(0.84-0.85)
* adjusted for gender, age group, year of diagnosis, and CD4
lymphocyte count at diagnosis (excluding deaths within 1 month of
AIDS diagnosis)

Hanna 2008 (26) 2002-2005 AIDS
surveillance data
reported to the
New York City
Department of
Health and Mental
Hygiene HIV/AIDS
Reporting System
(HARS)
NYC Vital Statistics
Registry
≥13 years old with
AIDS diagnosis
between January
1,2002 and June
30,2005
N=15,211
M:6796
H:32%
41 years old (IQR
35-48)
Followed until Dec
31,2005
Time from AIDS
diagnosis to HIV-
related death
Adjusted HRfor HIV-related death*
White Ref
Black 1.18 (0.99-1.39)
Hispanic 0.69 (0.56-0.84)
Country of Origin:
U.S. Born Ref.
Puerto Rico 2.53 (2.04-3.15)
Caribbean 1.74 (1.47-2.05)
Central and South America 1.65 (1.29-2.12)
*adjusted for gender, age, concurrent AIDS diagnosis, country of birth,
transmission category, borough, poverty, CD4 lymphocyte count at
AIDS diagnosis, and year of AIDS diagnosis.

AOR adjusted odds ratio, CDC centers for disease control and prevention, H Hispanic, HAART highly active antiretroviral therapy, HR hazards ratio, M male, MSM men who have sex with men, NR not reported, OR odds ratio, PUNA persons living with AIDS, Ref reference, RR relative risk

Color scheme grey-Hispanics with worse outcome