Table 7. Multivariate sensitivity analysis of key uncertain variables and incremental cost per birth attended, cost per death avoided, and cost per DALY averted of LUNESP package of neonatal interventions: 2011–2020 neonatal survival program (2011 US$).
Incremental cost and cost-effectiveness ratios, point estimates | Incremental cost and cost-effectiveness ratios, Monte-Carlo simulation1 | |||||
Base case | Optimistic scenario | Conservative scenario | Base case | Optimistic scenario | Conservative scenario | |
Cost per death avoided 2 | 1866 | 591 | 3024 | 1960 | 610 | 3210 |
Minimum-maximum range | 746–16683 | 293–3938 | 1106–45309 | |||
90% probability value | 3706 | 1087 | 6922 | |||
Cost per DALY averted 2 | 74 | 24 | 120 | 76 | 24 | 128 |
Minimum-maximum range | 27–664 | 12–157 | 44–1805 | |||
90% probability value | 148 | 43 | 276 | |||
Cost per birth attended 2 | 29.1 | 9.2 | 35.4 | 29.2 | 9.2 | 35.5 |
Minimum-maximum range | 18.6–76.3 | 7.6–16.9 | 20.2–232.6 | |||
90% probability value | 43.3 | 11.5 | 63.5 |
20,000 trials were run for each simulation.
Monte-carlo simulation values are the median value.