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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Apr 24.
Published in final edited form as: Circulation. 2012 Mar 29;125(16):1979–1987. doi: 10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.111.088591

Table 3.

Multivariable determinants of post year 1 major cardiovascular events (MCVE)

Risk factors Major cardiovascular events χ2 Statistics* P- value*
Hazard Ratio (95% CI) *
Basic model
Treatment (Atorvastatin 80 mg) 0.82 (0.70, 0.94) 7.43 0.006
Age (years): per 1SD 1.13 (1.04, 1.23) 8.04 0.005
Men 1.33 (1.07, 1.65) 6.69 0.01
 Smoking
  Current 1.65 (1.28, 2.12) 15.35 <0.001
  Previous 1.00 (0.82, 1.20) 0.01 0.96
  Never 1.00 ------ ------
Hypertension 1.38 (1.17, 1.63) 14.51 <0.001
Diabetes 1.33 (1.11, 1.60) 9.48 0.002

Variables selected by forward stepwise elimination
Body mass index(kg/m2): per 1SD 1.09 (1.02, 1.17) 6.34 0.01
Myocardial infarction 1.60 (1.36, 1.87) 32.79 <0.001
Angina 1.36 (1.10, 1.68) 8.16 0.004
Cerebrovascular disease 1.73 (1.36, 2.19) 19.80 <0.001
Peripheral vascular disease 1.32 (1.09, 1.61) 7.84 0.005
Congestive heart failure 1.54 (1.24, 1.90) 15.59 <0.001
Coronary revascularization: Bypass 1.26 (1.08, 1.47) 8.44 0.004
Baseline apolipoprotein A-I (mg/dL): per 1SD 0.91 (0.84, 0.99) 5.23 0.02
Baseline apolipoprotein B (mg/dL): per 1SD 1.19 (1.11, 1.28) 21.87 <0.001
Use of calcium channel blockers 1.31 (1.12, 1.54) 10.99 <0.001
Use of aspirin 0.67 (0.56, 0.81) 17.31 <0.001
Baseline blood urea nitrogen (mg/dL): per 1SD 1.10 (1.03, 1.17) 8.92 0.003
*

Hazard ratios, 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and p-values are based on multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis forcing age, gender, smoking, hypertension, and diabetes in the model; and the remaining significant (p< 0.10) variables identified from the univariable analyses were entered into the model by forward stepwise selection process with a critical value of 0.05. Hazard ratios and the corresponding 95% CIs are calculated based on 1 standard deviation (SD) increase for the continuous variables.