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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Kidney Int. 2012 Feb 1;81(10):1033–1042. doi: 10.1038/ki.2011.479

Table 3.

Independent Predictors of Serum Bicarbonate and Anion Gap

Characteristic Serum Bicarbonate Anion Gap

Change (mEq/L) P Change (mEq/L) P
Age (per 10 years) 0.14 (0.01 to 0.26) 0.03 −0.17 (−0.35 to 0.01) 0.06
Women −1.28 (−1.61–−0.95) <0.001 0.76 (0.33–1.19) 0.001
Race/Ethnicity
Mexican American −0.31 (−0.72–0.10) 0.13 0.11 (−0.43–to 0.64) 0.69
Non-Hispanic Black 0.10 (−0.28 to 0.48) 0.60 0.10 (−0.41 to 0.61) 0.69
Other −0.27 (−0.72 to 0.17) 0.22 0.39 (−0.13 to 0.91) 0.14
Body-mass index (per 1 kg/m2) −0.03 (−0.05 to −0.01) 0.003 0.003 (−0.02 to 0.03) 0.83
Poverty (<100% poverty index) −0.14 (−0.48 to 0.20) 0.41 0.20 (−0.22 to 0.63) 0.34
Less than high-school diploma −0.23 (−0.55 to 0.10) 0.17 0.21 (−0.17 to 0.60) 0.27
Activity Level (MET-min/wk)
< 500 −0.13 (−0.48 to 0.21) 0.44 −0.07 (−0.53 to 0.39) 0.76
500–2000 −0.17 (−0.43 to 0.09) 0.20 0.11 (−0.23 to 0.46) 0.52
> 2000 −0.25 (−0.53 to 0.04) 0.09 0.25 (−0.10 to 0.61) 0.16
Smoking
Former −0.11 (−0.33 to 0.12) 0.35 0.11 (−0.20 to 0.42) 0.48
Current −0.44 (−0.75 to −0.14) 0.006 0.24 (−0.11 to 0.60) 0.17
Estimated NEAP (per 10 mEq/day) −0.04 (−0.08 to 0.01) 0.08 0.02 (−0.03 to 0.07) 0.48
Fasting length to to
2–6 hours −0.61 (−1.37 to 0.16) 0.12 0.76 (−0.06 to 1.57) 0.07
> 6 hours −0.69 (−1.32 to −0.06) 0.03 0.67 (0.13 to 1.20) 0.02
Soft drink consumption
1 −0.26 (−0.57 to 0.05) 0.10 0.48 (0.06 to 0.90) 0.03
 ≥ 2 −0.30 (−0.58 to −0.02) 0.04 0.60 (0.17 to 1.04) 0.008
Diuretic use 0.94 (0.34 to 1.55) 0.003 −0.28 (−1.22 to 0.65) 0.54
Cholesterol-lowering medication 0.13 (−0.59 to 0.86) 0.71 −0.24 (−1.19 to 0.69) 0.60
Diabetes Mellitus −0.15 (−0.92 to 0.63) 0.71 0.64 (−0.25 to 1.53) 0.15
Systolic BP (per 10 mmHg) −0.16 (−0.25 to −0.07) 0.001 0.22 (0.09 to 0.35) 0.002
eGFR
75–89 mL/min/1.73m2 −0.08 (−0.33 to 0.16) 0.49 0.07 (−0.25 to 0.40) 0.65
< 75 mL/min/1.73m2 −0.52 (−1.23 to 0.18) 0.14 0.45 (−0.55 to 1.45) 0.37
UACR > 30 mg/g (%) −0.04 (−0.42 to 0.35) 0.85 0.10 (−0.33 to 0.53) 0.65
Serum albumin (g/dL) −0.33 (−1.01 to 0.35) 0.33 −0.50 (−1.31 to 0.32) 0.22
Serum sodium (mg/dL) 0.44 (0.36 to 0.52) <0.001 ……
Serum chloride (mg/dL) −0.33 (−0.42 to −0.24) <0.001 ……
Serum potassium (mg/dL) 0.32 (−0.09 to 0.73) 0.12 −0.38 (−1.00 to 0.24) 0.22
Serum calcium (mg/dL) 0.20 (−0.38 to 0.77) 0.50 0.08 (−0.62 to 0.79) 0.81
Serum phosphate (mg/dL) −0.34 (−0.50 to −0.18) <0.001 0.52 (0.26 to 0.77) <0.001
Hemoglobin (g/dL) −0.25 (−0.39 to −0.10) 0.001 0.31 (0.11 to 0.52) 0.003
Total cholesterol (per 10 mg/dL) −0.004 (−0.03 to 0.02) 0.71 0.04 (0.01 to 0.07) 0.01
HDL cholesterol (per 10 mg/dL) 0.08 (−0.02 to 0.17) 0.10 −0.04 (−0.14 to 0.07) 0.49
C-reactive protein
0.14–0.99 mg/dL −0.06 (−0.25 to 0.14) 0.57 0.29 (0.05 to 0.54) 0.02
 ≥ 1.0 mg/dL −0.18 (−0.61 to 0.24) 0.39 0.73 (0.11 to 1.35) 0.02

Abbreviations: MET, metabolic equivalent; BP, blood pressure; NEAP, net endogenous acid production; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; UACR, urinary albumin-creatinine ratio.

Multivariable model adjusted for all variables listed in the Table. Reference categories are non-Hispanic white for race/ethnicity; 0 Met-min/wk for activity level; non-smokers for smoking status; fasting length ≤2 hours; no soft drink consumption; eGFR ≥90 mL/min/1.73m2 for eGFR; and CRP <0.14 mg/dL