Table 3.
Predicted probabilities of population mobility under various conditions of crop failure
| Exposure to crop failure |
|||||
| Subdistrict level | Household level | All moves (%) | Within-district moves (%) | Out-of-district moves (%) | Person-years exposed |
| <5% crop failure | No crop failure | 4.5 (ref) | 1.8 (ref) | 1.8 (ref) | 23,817 |
| Crop failure | 3.2+ | 1.3 | 1.0 | 290 | |
| 5–20% crop failure | No crop failure | 5.3+ | 2.6** | 1.7 | 6,027 |
| Crop failure | 3.4 | 1.7 | 1.0+ | 889 | |
| >20% crop failure | No crop failure | 10.0*** | 5.0*** | 3.2** | 864 |
| Crop failure | 6.6 | 3.7* | 1.7 | 343 | |
Results are derived from specification E of the event history model (see text). Asterisks indicate the significance of contrasts with the no-crop-failure condition: +P < 0.10, *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01, ***P < 0.001.