Fig. 3.

Giant component sizes and their relations to predicted epidemic sizes. Graph a; the size of the giant weak and strong components of networks constructed from consecutive 10-day, 28-day, and year-long snapshots of cattle movements; clearly longer snapshots that contain more movements lead to larger giant components. Graphs b and c; correlation between mean giant strong component size (averaged over each year) based on 10-day snapshots of movements (shown in dark green in graph a) and mean final epidemic size for the two different seeding scenarios of the full simulation. The correlation is highly significant and has the lowest p-values for all the snapshots tested (see Supplementary data).