Table 1.
Toxicity, Outcomes, and Model Assumptions
| Cancer Type | Toxicity |
|||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acute (%) |
Late (%) |
|||||||||||
| IMRT |
SBRT |
IMRT |
SBRT |
|||||||||
| Zietman et al18 | Zelefsky et al19 | Storey et al20 | King et al16 | Boike et al17 | Jabbari et al23 | Zietman et al18 | Zelefsky et al19 | Kuban et al21 | King et al16 | Freeman et al22 | King et al25 | |
| GU | ||||||||||||
| RTOG grade | ||||||||||||
| < 2 | 29 | 38 | 46 | 20 | 33 | 45 | 45 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 40 | 11 |
| ≥ 2 | 63 | 28 | 29 | 0 | 7 | 33 | 29 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 29 | 5 |
| GI | ||||||||||||
| RTOG grade | ||||||||||||
| < 2 | 26 | 22 | 42 | 13 | 54 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 5 |
| ≥ 2 | 64 | 4 | 42 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 25 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 3 |
| Study | Outcomes |
||
|---|---|---|---|
| bPFS |
PSA Failure Measurement | ||
| Rate Range (%) | Survival (years) | ||
| Zietman et al18 | 91-98 | 5 | PSA > 4 |
| Kuban et al21 | 88-94 | 8 | 1996 ASTRO |
| Zelefsky et al19 | 86-92 | 3 | 1996 ASTRO |
| King et al25 | 92.7 | 5 | Phoenix |
| Variable | Model Assumptions |
||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline Value/Mean | SD | Range in Simulation | Distribution | Reference | |
| Yearly transition rates | |||||
| IMRT | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.0036-0.04 | β | Zietman et al,18 Zelefsky et al,19 Kuban et al21 |
| SBRT | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.0036-0.04 | β | Freeman et al,22 Jabbari et al,23 King et al26 |
| Hormone therapy | 0.13 | 0.0219 | 0.06-0.019 | β | Shipley et al27 |
| Chemotherapy | 1 | — | — | — | Beekman et al28 |
| Utility values | |||||
| IMRT | 0.9 | 0.05 | 0.8-1.0 | β | Konski et al,24 Stewart et al29 |
| SBRT | 0.9 | 0.05 | 0.8-1.0 | β | Konski et al,24 Stewart et al29 |
| Hormone therapy | 0.68 | 0.26 | 0.5-0.8 | β | Bayoumi et al30 |
| Chemotherapy | 0.4 | — | — | Uniform | Albertsen et al31 |
| Costs | |||||
| IMRT | $29,530 | ± 30% | $20,000-$40,000 | Triangle | Konski et al,24 UTSW data |
| SBRT | $14,315 | ± 30% | $10,000-$20,000 | Triangle | UTSW data |
| Hormone therapy | $7,200 | $4,300 | $2,000-$15,000 | Normal | Red Book |
| Chemotherapy | $24,000 | $15,000 | $5,000-$100,000 | Normal | Piper et al32 |
NOTE. Costs are expressed in 2010 US dollars; detailed cost analysis provided in Appendix Table A1, online only.
Abbreviations: ASTRO, American Society of Therapeutic Radiation Oncology; bPFS, biologic progression-free survival; GU, genitourinary; IMRT, intensity-modulated radiation therapy; PSA, prostate-specific antigen; RTOG, Radiation Therapy Oncology Group; SBRT, stereotactic body radiation therapy; SD, standard deviation; UTSW, University of Texas Southwestern.