Table 4.
Classification test of BLR models.
| Observed | Predicted | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fitting cases | Validation cases | ||||||
| Succession | Percentage correct | Succession | Percentage correct | ||||
| Yes | No | Yes | No | ||||
| (a) SG succession: during 1985~1998 | |||||||
| Succession | Yes | 1812 | 187 | 90.6 | 411 | 57 | 87.8 |
| No | 434 | 1567 | 78.3 | 188 | 344 | 64.7 | |
| Overall percentage | 84.5 | 75.5 | |||||
| (b) LC succession: during 1985~1998 | |||||||
| Succession | Yes | 1405 | 160 | 89.8 | 245 | 43 | 85.1 |
| No | 534 | 1901 | 78.1 | 174 | 538 | 75.6 | |
| Overall percentage | 82.7 | 78.3 | |||||
| (c) LC succession: during 1998~2004 | |||||||
| Succession | Yes | 1201 | 134 | 90.0 | 199 | 50 | 80.0 |
| No | 456 | 2209 | 82.9 | 174 | 577 | 76.8 | |
| Overall percentage | 85.2 | 77.6 | |||||
| (d) SG succession: during 1998~2004 | |||||||
| Succession | Yes | 789 | 144 | 84.6 | 142 | 33 | 81.1 |
| No | 506 | 2561 | 83.5 | 187 | 642 | 77.8 | |
| Overall percentage | 83.8 | 78.4 | |||||
The cut value is 500.