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. 2012 Jan 25;12:79. doi: 10.1186/1471-2458-12-79

Table 8.

APYL per person at age 40 by geographic region for selected risk factor scenarios

Major city Inner regional Outer regional/remote
Males Years (95% CI) Years (95% CI) Years (95% CI)
Baseline 29.4 (29.1, 29.8) 27.9 (27.6, 28.3) 27.0 (26.7, 27.8)
Total cholesterol < 5.5 31.9 (31.4, 32.5) 30.5 (29.7, 31.3) 30.0 (29.2, 31.3)
SBP < 140 31.6 (31.0, 32.1) 29.8 (29.2, 30.7) 29.4 (28.9, 30.6)
No smoking 30.4 (30.1, 30.8) 29.0 (28.6, 29.4) 28.6 (28.2, 29.4)
1-3 combined 35.7 (34.7, 36.6) 33.9 (32.9, 35.4) 34.4 (32.8, 36.5)

Females Years (95% CI) Years (95% CI) Years (95% CI)
Baseline 32.9 (32.3, 33.5) 31.5 (30.7, 32.2) 31.1 (30.4, 32.0)
Total cholesterol < 5.5 35.4 (34.5, 36.5) 33.9 (32.7, 35.6) 34.1 (32.9, 35.3)
SBP < 140 35.4 (34.5, 36.5) 33.8 (32.4, 34.9) 33.6 (32.3, 35.3)
No smoking 33.8 (33.3, 34.7) 32.6 (32.1, 33.3) 32.6 (31.9, 33.4)
1-3 combined 39.3 (38.0, 40.7) 37.5 (36.2, 39.4) 38.2 (36.2, 40.4)

Difference from baseline
Males Years (95% CI) Years (95% CI) Years (95% CI)
Total cholesterol < 5.5 2.5 (1.8, 3.2) 2.6 (1.7, 3.5) 3.0 (1.7, 4.2)
SBP < 140 2.2 (1.5, 2.9) 1.9 (1.0, 2.7) 2.4 (1.3, 3.4)
No smoking 1.0 (0.5, 1.5) 1.1 (0.6, 1.7) 1.5 (0.7, 2.3)
1-3 combined 6.3 (5.2, 7.3) 6.0 (4.6, 7.3) 7.3 (5.4, 9.3)

Females Years (95% CI) Years (95% CI) Years (95% CI)
Total cholesterol < 5.5 2.6 (1.4, 3.7) 2.4 (0.8, 4.1) 3.0 (1.5, 4.5)
SBP < 140 2.5 (1.3, 3.7) 2.3 (0.9, 3.7) 2.5 (0.8, 4.2)
No smoking 1.0 (0.0, 1.9) 1.1 (0.2, 2.1) 1.5 (0.4, 2.6)
1-3 combined 6.4 (5.0, 7.9) 6.1 (4.4, 7.8) 7.1 (4.8, 9.3)

Note: Age standardised APYL calculated using Major City population as the standard population