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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2013 Jan 1.
Published in final edited form as: Cancer Discov. 2012 Jan;2(1):25–40. doi: 10.1158/2159-8290.CD-11-0248

Table 2. MAP.3 Exemestane Prevention Trial: strengths and weaknesses.

Strengths Weaknesses
Three-fourths of breast cancers ER positive and account for most breast cancer deaths Not including bone measurements (DXA scan) as predetermined endpoints, instead relying on self-report

Strong rationale based on contralateral breast cancer reduction in adjuvant trials

Placebo-controlled design Lack of active comparator (e.g., raloxifene) to determine best hormonal strategy: no estrogen at all vs. best balance between agonistic and antagonistic effects

Eligibility used a pragmatic and clinically relevant algorithm: Loose definition of “high risk,” especially including all women ≥60 years of age, even those with Gail model risk ≤1.66%
 1. age ≥60 y
 2. Gail model
 3. history of IEN

Fast recruitment Study immaturity: powered for 38 invasive cancers for final analysis with 3-year recruitment +1.2-y follow-up. Although technically acceptable, probably not clinically meaningful. Follow-up too short for safety and risk:benefit assessment

Main findings: predictable high activity and excellent safety/tolerability profile Crossover to exemestane is being offered to women on placebo. Resulting contamination diminishes the value of follow-up, making MAP.3 a large proof-of-principle trial (activity vs. efficacy).