Table 2.
Scale-dependent measures | Definition | Error spread | Error weights |
---|---|---|---|
Mean square error (MSE) | Mean(Ot–Ft)2 | Yes | Yes |
Root mean squared error (RMSE) | √MSE | Yes | Yes |
Mean absolute error (MAE) | Mean|(Ot–Ft)| | Yes | No |
Median absolute error (MdAE) | Median|(Ot–Ft)| | – | – |
Mean absolute scaled error (MASE) | Mean|(Qt)| | Yes | Yes |
Notes: Error spread refers to the ability of the measure to capture an error that is not localized and not widely distributed in the dataset. Error weights refers to the ability of the measure to differentiate the error at different points in history.
Abbreviations: t, at a time; O, observation; F, forecast; Q:A, scaled error independent of scale of data.59