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. 2011 Oct 18;41(2):180–192. doi: 10.1007/s13280-011-0193-x

Table 1.

Four climate scenarios for 2100 (KNMI 2006)

KNMI 2100 G G+ W W+
World-wide temperature rise (°C) +2 +2 +4 +4
Change of circulation No Yes No Yes
Winter Mean temperature (°C) +1.8 +2.3 +3.6 +4.6
Coldest day each year (°C) +2.1 +2.9 +4.2 +5.8
Mean precipitation (%) +7 +14 +14 +28
Number of wet days (>+0.1 mm) (%) 0 +2 0 +4
10- day precipitation sum exceeded once in 10 years (%) +8 +12 +16 +24
Highest daily mean windspeed per year (%) −1 +4 −2 +8
Summer Mean temperature (°C) +1.7 +2.8 +3.4 +5.6
Hottest day per year (°C) +2.1 +3.8 +4.2 +7.6
Mean precipitation (%) +6 −19 +12 −38
Number of wet days (>+ 0.1 mm) (%) −3 −19 −6 −38
Daily sum of the precipitation exceeded once in 10 years (%) +27 +10 +54 +20
Potential evapotranspiration (%) +7 +15 +14 +30
Sea level Absolute rise (cm) 35–60 35–60 40–85 40–85

G moderate, W warm, + with change of circulation pattern over Western Europe