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. 2011 Oct 18;41(2):180–192. doi: 10.1007/s13280-011-0193-x

Table 2.

Four socio-economic scenarios for 2040

1971–2001 RC 2040 TM 2040 SE 2040 GE 2040
Population size (millions) 16.0* 15.8 17.1 18.9 19.7
Share age 65+ (%) 14* 25 25 23 23
Number of households (million) 7.0* 6.9 8.5 8.3 9.8
Unemployed job-seekers (%) 3.3 7.7 4.7 5.5 4.3
Growth of GDP per head per year (%) 2002–2040 1.9 1.2 1.7 1.5 2.1
GDP per head (2001 = 100) 100* 133 195 156 221
Claims on space for living and working (2002 = 100) 100# 13 76 75 139
Claims on space for recreational and natural area (2002 = 100) 100# 128 112 163 156

* Index 2001 = 100

#Index 2002 = 100