Table 1. Reproduction numbers obtained by fitting a simple epidemic model to numbers of influenza-like illness cases attributable to pandemic influenza A (H1N1) 2009 virus, People’s Republic of China, September–October 2009*.
Interval | Mean (95% credible interval) |
---|---|
School term 1 (Sep 6–Oct 1) | 1.25 (1.22–1.28) |
Holidays (Oct 1–8)† | 0.79 (0.69–0.90) |
School term 2 (Oct 9–25) | 1.23 (1.15–1.33) |
*Fitted on data for the calendar weeks before and after the National Day Holiday. †Period of National Day Holiday. Details can be found in Technical Appendix Table 1.