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. 2012 Mar;84(2):307–344. doi: 10.1111/j.1933-1592.2010.00483.x
Initial evidence: Pr(P|A) high Pr(¬P|¬A) high
equivalently: (1a) Pr(¬P|A) low (1b) Pr(P|¬A) low
Further test: (2a) Pr(¬P|¬T) high (2b) Pr(P|T) high
Trumping: (3a) Pr(¬P|{¬T&A}) high (3b) Pr(P|{T&¬A}) high