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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2012 Jun 5.
Published in final edited form as: JAMA. 2011 Jul 13;306(2):172–178. doi: 10.1001/jama.2011.955

Table 4.

Results From Prospective Analyses: Rate of Change to High-Risk Screening Criteria During Follow-up (n = 1927)

Cancer Type
by Age at
Enrollment, y
Participants Without
Family History at Enrollment
Occurrences of
Family History
During Follow-up, No.
10-Year Rate
(95%CI)a
No. Follow-up, y
Colorectal
      18–29 72 511 0 0 (0–4)
      30–39 359 2444 4 2 (0–7)
      40–49 1102 8021 11 1 (0–6)
      Overall 1533 10 976 15 1 (0–6)
Breast
      35–39 66 482 0 0 (0–4)
      40–49 223 1649 7 4 (1–10)
      50–59 328 2361 6 3 (0–9)
      Overall 617 4493 13 3 (0–9)
Prostate
      18–29 18 134 1 7 (3–14)
      30–39 35 219 1 5 (2–12)
      40–49 110 782 2 3 (0–9)
      Overall 163 1135 4 4 (1–10)

Abbreviation: CI, confidence interval.

a

The 10-year rate was calculated as the number of participants who newly met increased-risk criteria per 100 followed up for 10 years.